Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Titijaya Land Berhad (KLSE:TITIJYA) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Titijaya Land Berhad
What Is Titijaya Land Berhad's Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2020 Titijaya Land Berhad had RM496.7m of debt, an increase on RM461.6m, over one year. However, it also had RM155.3m in cash, and so its net debt is RM341.3m.
How Strong Is Titijaya Land Berhad's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Titijaya Land Berhad had liabilities of RM892.2m due within 12 months, and liabilities of RM403.3m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had RM155.3m in cash and RM452.5m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling RM687.6m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of RM490.9m, we think shareholders really should watch Titijaya Land Berhad's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
Titijaya Land Berhad shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (75.5), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 0.39 times the interest expense. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. Even worse, Titijaya Land Berhad saw its EBIT tank 92% over the last 12 months. If earnings keep going like that over the long term, it has a snowball's chance in hell of paying off that debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Titijaya Land Berhad will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Titijaya Land Berhad recorded free cash flow worth 74% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
Our View
On the face of it, Titijaya Land Berhad's interest cover left us tentative about the stock, and its EBIT growth rate was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But on the bright side, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. We're quite clear that we consider Titijaya Land Berhad to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. For this reason we're pretty cautious about the stock, and we think shareholders should keep a close eye on its liquidity. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Titijaya Land Berhad is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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About KLSE:TITIJYA
Titijaya Land Berhad
An investment holding company, engages in the property development activities in Malaysia.
Excellent balance sheet with proven track record.