Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Titijaya Land Berhad (KLSE:TITIJYA) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Titijaya Land Berhad
What Is Titijaya Land Berhad's Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2020 Titijaya Land Berhad had RM504.4m of debt, an increase on RM473.8m, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of RM180.8m, its net debt is less, at about RM323.7m.
How Strong Is Titijaya Land Berhad's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Titijaya Land Berhad had liabilities of RM862.8m falling due within a year, and liabilities of RM401.4m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of RM180.8m as well as receivables valued at RM436.7m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling RM646.8m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of RM503.6m, we think shareholders really should watch Titijaya Land Berhad's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
Weak interest cover of 0.062 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 203 hit our confidence in Titijaya Land Berhad like a one-two punch to the gut. The debt burden here is substantial. Worse, Titijaya Land Berhad's EBIT was down 99% over the last year. If earnings keep going like that over the long term, it has a snowball's chance in hell of paying off that debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Titijaya Land Berhad will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, Titijaya Land Berhad burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
Our View
To be frank both Titijaya Land Berhad's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its track record of (not) growing its EBIT make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. And furthermore, its net debt to EBITDA also fails to instill confidence. It looks to us like Titijaya Land Berhad carries a significant balance sheet burden. If you harvest honey without a bee suit, you risk getting stung, so we'd probably stay away from this particular stock. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Take risks, for example - Titijaya Land Berhad has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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About KLSE:TITIJYA
Titijaya Land Berhad
An investment holding company, engages in the property development activities in Malaysia.
Excellent balance sheet and good value.