Stock Analysis

Does Asian Pac Holdings Berhad (KLSE:ASIAPAC) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

KLSE:ASIAPAC
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Asian Pac Holdings Berhad (KLSE:ASIAPAC) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Asian Pac Holdings Berhad

What Is Asian Pac Holdings Berhad's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2023 Asian Pac Holdings Berhad had debt of RM516.6m, up from RM488.3m in one year. However, it also had RM52.2m in cash, and so its net debt is RM464.3m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
KLSE:ASIAPAC Debt to Equity History July 27th 2023

How Strong Is Asian Pac Holdings Berhad's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Asian Pac Holdings Berhad had liabilities of RM343.0m due within 12 months and liabilities of RM694.8m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had RM52.2m in cash and RM142.7m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total RM842.9m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit casts a shadow over the RM163.8m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Asian Pac Holdings Berhad would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Asian Pac Holdings Berhad shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (10.5), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 1.5 times the interest expense. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. However, it should be some comfort for shareholders to recall that Asian Pac Holdings Berhad actually grew its EBIT by a hefty 358%, over the last 12 months. If it can keep walking that path it will be in a position to shed its debt with relative ease. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Asian Pac Holdings Berhad will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Looking at the most recent two years, Asian Pac Holdings Berhad recorded free cash flow of 31% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

Our View

To be frank both Asian Pac Holdings Berhad's net debt to EBITDA and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But on the bright side, its EBIT growth rate is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Overall, it seems to us that Asian Pac Holdings Berhad's balance sheet is really quite a risk to the business. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 4 warning signs for Asian Pac Holdings Berhad you should be aware of, and 2 of them can't be ignored.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Asian Pac Holdings Berhad is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.