Stock Analysis

Here's Why Astro Malaysia Holdings Berhad (KLSE:ASTRO) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

KLSE:ASTRO
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Astro Malaysia Holdings Berhad (KLSE:ASTRO) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Astro Malaysia Holdings Berhad

What Is Astro Malaysia Holdings Berhad's Net Debt?

As you can see below, Astro Malaysia Holdings Berhad had RM1.88b of debt, at July 2023, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it also had RM699.4m in cash, and so its net debt is RM1.18b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
KLSE:ASTRO Debt to Equity History September 29th 2023

How Strong Is Astro Malaysia Holdings Berhad's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Astro Malaysia Holdings Berhad had liabilities of RM1.62b due within a year, and liabilities of RM2.89b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had RM699.4m in cash and RM640.7m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling RM3.17b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of RM2.40b, we think shareholders really should watch Astro Malaysia Holdings Berhad's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Even though Astro Malaysia Holdings Berhad's debt is only 2.1, its interest cover is really very low at 2.0. This does suggest the company is paying fairly high interest rates. In any case, it's safe to say the company has meaningful debt. Shareholders should be aware that Astro Malaysia Holdings Berhad's EBIT was down 48% last year. If that decline continues then paying off debt will be harder than selling foie gras at a vegan convention. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Astro Malaysia Holdings Berhad can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, Astro Malaysia Holdings Berhad actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.

Our View

To be frank both Astro Malaysia Holdings Berhad's interest cover and its track record of (not) growing its EBIT make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least it's pretty decent at converting EBIT to free cash flow; that's encouraging. Looking at the bigger picture, it seems clear to us that Astro Malaysia Holdings Berhad's use of debt is creating risks for the company. If all goes well, that should boost returns, but on the flip side, the risk of permanent capital loss is elevated by the debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Astro Malaysia Holdings Berhad (1 shouldn't be ignored) you should be aware of.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.