Stock Analysis

Is Press Metal Aluminium Holdings Berhad (KLSE:PMETAL) Using Too Much Debt?

KLSE:PMETAL
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Press Metal Aluminium Holdings Berhad (KLSE:PMETAL) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Press Metal Aluminium Holdings Berhad

How Much Debt Does Press Metal Aluminium Holdings Berhad Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Press Metal Aluminium Holdings Berhad had debt of RM4.40b at the end of September 2023, a reduction from RM5.00b over a year. On the flip side, it has RM937.2m in cash leading to net debt of about RM3.47b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
KLSE:PMETAL Debt to Equity History January 18th 2024

How Strong Is Press Metal Aluminium Holdings Berhad's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Press Metal Aluminium Holdings Berhad had liabilities of RM2.16b falling due within a year, and liabilities of RM4.89b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had RM937.2m in cash and RM1.51b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total RM4.61b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Since publicly traded Press Metal Aluminium Holdings Berhad shares are worth a total of RM40.0b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

With a debt to EBITDA ratio of 1.5, Press Metal Aluminium Holdings Berhad uses debt artfully but responsibly. And the fact that its trailing twelve months of EBIT was 7.9 times its interest expenses harmonizes with that theme. In fact Press Metal Aluminium Holdings Berhad's saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 21% in the last twelve months. When a company sees its earnings tank, it can sometimes find its relationships with its lenders turn sour. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Press Metal Aluminium Holdings Berhad's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. In the last three years, Press Metal Aluminium Holdings Berhad's free cash flow amounted to 49% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

Our View

Press Metal Aluminium Holdings Berhad's EBIT growth rate was a real negative on this analysis, although the other factors we considered cast it in a significantly better light. But on the bright side, its ability to to cover its interest expense with its EBIT isn't too shabby at all. Looking at all the angles mentioned above, it does seem to us that Press Metal Aluminium Holdings Berhad is a somewhat risky investment as a result of its debt. Not all risk is bad, as it can boost share price returns if it pays off, but this debt risk is worth keeping in mind. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Press Metal Aluminium Holdings Berhad you should know about.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.