Stock Analysis

Declining Stock and Solid Fundamentals: Is The Market Wrong About Press Metal Aluminium Holdings Berhad (KLSE:PMETAL)?

KLSE:PMETAL
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It is hard to get excited after looking at Press Metal Aluminium Holdings Berhad's (KLSE:PMETAL) recent performance, when its stock has declined 7.5% over the past month. However, stock prices are usually driven by a company’s financial performance over the long term, which in this case looks quite promising. In this article, we decided to focus on Press Metal Aluminium Holdings Berhad's ROE.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

Check out our latest analysis for Press Metal Aluminium Holdings Berhad

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Press Metal Aluminium Holdings Berhad is:

19% = RM2.0b ÷ RM11b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

The 'return' is the yearly profit. That means that for every MYR1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated MYR0.19 in profit.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

Press Metal Aluminium Holdings Berhad's Earnings Growth And 19% ROE

At first glance, Press Metal Aluminium Holdings Berhad seems to have a decent ROE. Further, the company's ROE compares quite favorably to the industry average of 5.4%. This probably laid the ground for Press Metal Aluminium Holdings Berhad's significant 25% net income growth seen over the past five years. We believe that there might also be other aspects that are positively influencing the company's earnings growth. For instance, the company has a low payout ratio or is being managed efficiently.

We then compared Press Metal Aluminium Holdings Berhad's net income growth with the industry and we're pleased to see that the company's growth figure is higher when compared with the industry which has a growth rate of 14% in the same 5-year period.

past-earnings-growth
KLSE:PMETAL Past Earnings Growth January 14th 2025

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Is PMETAL fairly valued? This infographic on the company's intrinsic value has everything you need to know.

Is Press Metal Aluminium Holdings Berhad Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

The three-year median payout ratio for Press Metal Aluminium Holdings Berhad is 38%, which is moderately low. The company is retaining the remaining 62%. So it seems that Press Metal Aluminium Holdings Berhad is reinvesting efficiently in a way that it sees impressive growth in its earnings (discussed above) and pays a dividend that's well covered.

Besides, Press Metal Aluminium Holdings Berhad has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more. This shows that the company is committed to sharing profits with its shareholders. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company over the next three years is expected to be approximately 42%. Therefore, the company's future ROE is also not expected to change by much with analysts predicting an ROE of 22%.

Conclusion

Overall, we are quite pleased with Press Metal Aluminium Holdings Berhad's performance. Particularly, we like that the company is reinvesting heavily into its business, and at a high rate of return. Unsurprisingly, this has led to an impressive earnings growth. Having said that, the company's earnings growth is expected to slow down, as forecasted in the current analyst estimates. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.