Stock Analysis

We Think Lysaght Galvanized Steel Berhad's (KLSE:LYSAGHT) Robust Earnings Are Conservative

KLSE:LYSAGHT
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Even though Lysaght Galvanized Steel Berhad's (KLSE:LYSAGHT) recent earnings release was robust, the market didn't seem to notice. Our analysis suggests that investors might be missing some promising details.

View our latest analysis for Lysaght Galvanized Steel Berhad

earnings-and-revenue-history
KLSE:LYSAGHT Earnings and Revenue History November 29th 2023

Examining Cashflow Against Lysaght Galvanized Steel Berhad's Earnings

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

Over the twelve months to September 2023, Lysaght Galvanized Steel Berhad recorded an accrual ratio of -0.13. That indicates that its free cash flow was a fair bit more than its statutory profit. To wit, it produced free cash flow of RM22m during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of RM9.89m. Lysaght Galvanized Steel Berhad shareholders are no doubt pleased that free cash flow improved over the last twelve months.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Lysaght Galvanized Steel Berhad.

Our Take On Lysaght Galvanized Steel Berhad's Profit Performance

Lysaght Galvanized Steel Berhad's accrual ratio is solid, and indicates strong free cash flow, as we discussed, above. Based on this observation, we consider it likely that Lysaght Galvanized Steel Berhad's statutory profit actually understates its earnings potential! And on top of that, its earnings per share have grown at an extremely impressive rate over the last three years. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Lysaght Galvanized Steel Berhad (including 1 which is concerning).

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Lysaght Galvanized Steel Berhad's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Lysaght Galvanized Steel Berhad is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.