Stock Analysis

Would Shareholders Who Purchased MPHB Capital Berhad's (KLSE:MPHBCAP) Stock Three Years Be Happy With The Share price Today?

KLSE:MPHBCAP
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For many investors, the main point of stock picking is to generate higher returns than the overall market. But the risk of stock picking is that you will likely buy under-performing companies. We regret to report that long term MPHB Capital Berhad (KLSE:MPHBCAP) shareholders have had that experience, with the share price dropping 38% in three years, versus a market decline of about 3.1%. More recently, the share price has dropped a further 17% in a month.

Check out our latest analysis for MPHB Capital Berhad

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

During the three years that the share price fell, MPHB Capital Berhad's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 50% each year. In comparison the 15% compound annual share price decline isn't as bad as the EPS drop-off. This suggests that the market retains some optimism around long term earnings stability, despite past EPS declines. This positive sentiment is also reflected in the generous P/E ratio of 85.28.

You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

earnings-per-share-growth
KLSE:MPHBCAP Earnings Per Share Growth January 19th 2021

It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on MPHB Capital Berhad's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

A Different Perspective

Investors in MPHB Capital Berhad had a tough year, with a total loss of 13%, against a market gain of about 6.1%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 6% over the last half decade. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for MPHB Capital Berhad (1 can't be ignored) that you should be aware of.

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on MY exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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