Stock Analysis

Shareholders Will Be Pleased With The Quality of TPC Plus Berhad's (KLSE:TPC) Earnings

KLSE:TPC
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Even though TPC Plus Berhad (KLSE:TPC ) posted strong earnings, investors appeared to be underwhelmed. We did some digging and actually think they are being unnecessarily pessimistic.

Our analysis indicates that TPC is potentially undervalued!

earnings-and-revenue-history
KLSE:TPC Earnings and Revenue History December 6th 2022

Zooming In On TPC Plus Berhad's Earnings

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

Over the twelve months to September 2022, TPC Plus Berhad recorded an accrual ratio of -0.13. Therefore, its statutory earnings were quite a lot less than its free cashflow. To wit, it produced free cash flow of RM25m during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of RM12.0m. Given that TPC Plus Berhad had negative free cash flow in the prior corresponding period, the trailing twelve month resul of RM25m would seem to be a step in the right direction. However, as we will discuss below, we can see that the company's accrual ratio has been impacted by its tax situation.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of TPC Plus Berhad.

An Unusual Tax Situation

In addition to the notable accrual ratio, we can see that TPC Plus Berhad received a tax benefit of RM1.9m. It's always a bit noteworthy when a company is paid by the tax man, rather than paying the tax man. The receipt of a tax benefit is obviously a good thing, on its own. And given that it lost money last year, it seems possible that the benefit is evidence that it now expects to find value in its past tax losses. However, the devil in the detail is that these kind of benefits only impact in the year they are booked, and are often one-off in nature. In the likely event the tax benefit is not repeated, we'd expect to see its statutory profit levels drop, at least in the absence of strong growth. While we think it's good that the company has booked a tax benefit, it does mean that there's every chance the statutory profit will come in a lot higher than it would be if the income was adjusted for one-off factors.

Our Take On TPC Plus Berhad's Profit Performance

In conclusion, TPC Plus Berhad has strong cashflow relative to earnings, which indicates good quality earnings, but the tax benefit means its profit wasn't as sustainable as we'd like to see. Based on these factors, it's hard to tell if TPC Plus Berhad's profits are a reasonable reflection of its underlying profitability. If you'd like to know more about TPC Plus Berhad as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for TPC Plus Berhad (1 is significant) you should be familiar with.

Our examination of TPC Plus Berhad has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if TPC Plus Berhad might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.