Stock Analysis

Results: PPB Group Berhad Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates

KLSE:PPB
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As you might know, PPB Group Berhad (KLSE:PPB) recently reported its full-year numbers. Revenues RM5.7b disappointed slightly, at9.4% below what the analysts had predicted. Profits were a relative bright spot, with statutory per-share earnings of RM0.98 coming in 13% above what was anticipated. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. With this in mind, we've gathered the latest statutory forecasts to see what the analysts are expecting for next year.

View our latest analysis for PPB Group Berhad

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KLSE:PPB Earnings and Revenue Growth March 3rd 2024

After the latest results, the five analysts covering PPB Group Berhad are now predicting revenues of RM6.83b in 2024. If met, this would reflect a solid 19% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to ascend 20% to RM1.18. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of RM6.80b and earnings per share (EPS) of RM1.13 in 2024. The analysts seems to have become more bullish on the business, judging by their new earnings per share estimates.

There's been no major changes to the consensus price target of RM17.19, suggesting that the improved earnings per share outlook is not enough to have a long-term positive impact on the stock's valuation. There's another way to think about price targets though, and that's to look at the range of price targets put forward by analysts, because a wide range of estimates could suggest a diverse view on possible outcomes for the business. There are some variant perceptions on PPB Group Berhad, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at RM19.40 and the most bearish at RM13.86 per share. Analysts definitely have varying views on the business, but the spread of estimates is not wide enough in our view to suggest that extreme outcomes could await PPB Group Berhad shareholders.

Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. It's clear from the latest estimates that PPB Group Berhad's rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with the forecast 19% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2024 noticeably faster than its historical growth of 7.6% p.a. over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to grow their revenue at 4.8% per year. It seems obvious that, while the growth outlook is brighter than the recent past, the analysts also expect PPB Group Berhad to grow faster than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing here is that the analysts upgraded their earnings per share estimates, suggesting that there has been a clear increase in optimism towards PPB Group Berhad following these results. Happily, there were no major changes to revenue forecasts, with the business still expected to grow faster than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for PPB Group Berhad going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here..

That said, it's still necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with PPB Group Berhad , and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether PPB Group Berhad is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.