Stock Analysis

Nestlé (Malaysia) Berhad (KLSE:NESTLE) Is Increasing Its Dividend To RM1.02

KLSE:NESTLE
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Nestlé (Malaysia) Berhad (KLSE:NESTLE) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend on the 19th of May to RM1.02. Despite this raise, the dividend yield of 1.8% is only a modest boost to shareholder returns.

View our latest analysis for Nestlé (Malaysia) Berhad

Nestlé (Malaysia) Berhad Doesn't Earn Enough To Cover Its Payments

It would be nice for the yield to be higher, but we should also check if higher levels of dividend payment would be sustainable. Prior to this announcement, the company was paying out 100% of what it was earning and 93% of cash flows. While the cash payout ratio isn't necessarily a cause for concern, the company is probably focusing more on returning cash to shareholders than growing the business.

Over the next year, EPS is forecast to expand by 1.1%. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could reach 98%, which probably can't continue putting some pressure on the balance sheet.

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KLSE:NESTLE Historic Dividend February 24th 2022

Dividend Volatility

Although the company has a long dividend history, it has been cut at least once in the last 10 years. Since 2012, the dividend has gone from RM1.80 to RM2.42. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 3.0% a year over that time. We're glad to see the dividend has risen, but with a limited rate of growth and fluctuations in the payments the total shareholder return may be limited.

Dividend Growth May Be Hard To Achieve

Growing earnings per share could be a mitigating factor when considering the past fluctuations in the dividend. Over the past five years, it looks as though Nestlé (Malaysia) Berhad's EPS has declined at around 2.2% a year. A modest decline in earnings isn't great, and it makes it quite unlikely that the dividend will grow in the future unless that trend can be reversed. Earnings are forecast to grow over the next 12 months and if that happens we could still be a little bit cautious until it becomes a pattern.

Nestlé (Malaysia) Berhad's Dividend Doesn't Look Sustainable

Overall, this is probably not a great income stock, even though the dividend is being raised at the moment. The payments are bit high to be considered sustainable, and the track record isn't the best. We don't think Nestlé (Malaysia) Berhad is a great stock to add to your portfolio if income is your focus.

It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. To that end, Nestlé (Malaysia) Berhad has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is concerning) we think you should know about. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.