Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that MSM Malaysia Holdings Berhad (KLSE:MSM) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for MSM Malaysia Holdings Berhad
What Is MSM Malaysia Holdings Berhad's Debt?
As you can see below, MSM Malaysia Holdings Berhad had RM1.08b of debt at September 2020, down from RM1.17b a year prior. However, because it has a cash reserve of RM213.5m, its net debt is less, at about RM862.3m.
How Strong Is MSM Malaysia Holdings Berhad's Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that MSM Malaysia Holdings Berhad had liabilities of RM678.0m due within 12 months and liabilities of RM648.2m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had RM213.5m in cash and RM335.3m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by RM777.4m.
The deficiency here weighs heavily on the RM425.3m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, MSM Malaysia Holdings Berhad would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
With a net debt to EBITDA ratio of 6.1, it's fair to say MSM Malaysia Holdings Berhad does have a significant amount of debt. However, its interest coverage of 2.6 is reasonably strong, which is a good sign. However, the silver lining was that MSM Malaysia Holdings Berhad achieved a positive EBIT of RM66m in the last twelve months, an improvement on the prior year's loss. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if MSM Malaysia Holdings Berhad can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) is backed by free cash flow. Over the last year, MSM Malaysia Holdings Berhad actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.
Our View
To be frank both MSM Malaysia Holdings Berhad's net debt to EBITDA and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But on the bright side, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Overall, we think it's fair to say that MSM Malaysia Holdings Berhad has enough debt that there are some real risks around the balance sheet. If all goes well, that should boost returns, but on the flip side, the risk of permanent capital loss is elevated by the debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that MSM Malaysia Holdings Berhad is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About KLSE:MSM
MSM Malaysia Holdings Berhad
Produces, refines, markets, and sells refined sugar products in Malaysia.
Fair value with moderate growth potential.