Stock Analysis

Here's Why MSM Malaysia Holdings Berhad (KLSE:MSM) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

KLSE:MSM
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that MSM Malaysia Holdings Berhad (KLSE:MSM) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for MSM Malaysia Holdings Berhad

What Is MSM Malaysia Holdings Berhad's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at December 2023 MSM Malaysia Holdings Berhad had debt of RM1.13b, up from RM879.7m in one year. However, it also had RM278.3m in cash, and so its net debt is RM854.9m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
KLSE:MSM Debt to Equity History February 29th 2024

A Look At MSM Malaysia Holdings Berhad's Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that MSM Malaysia Holdings Berhad had liabilities of RM1.14b falling due within a year, and liabilities of RM281.6m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of RM278.3m as well as receivables valued at RM399.0m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by RM748.3m.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since MSM Malaysia Holdings Berhad has a market capitalization of RM1.96b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

MSM Malaysia Holdings Berhad shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (9.4), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 0.30 times the interest expense. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. One redeeming factor for MSM Malaysia Holdings Berhad is that it turned last year's EBIT loss into a gain of RM12m, over the last twelve months. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if MSM Malaysia Holdings Berhad can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it is important to check how much of its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) converts to actual free cash flow. During the last year, MSM Malaysia Holdings Berhad burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

On the face of it, MSM Malaysia Holdings Berhad's interest cover left us tentative about the stock, and its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. Having said that, its ability to grow its EBIT isn't such a worry. Overall, it seems to us that MSM Malaysia Holdings Berhad's balance sheet is really quite a risk to the business. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for MSM Malaysia Holdings Berhad (1 is concerning) you should be aware of.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.