Stock Analysis

The 13% return this week takes Lotus KFM Berhad's (KLSE:LOTUS) shareholders five-year gains to 118%

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KLSE:LOTUS

The worst result, after buying shares in a company (assuming no leverage), would be if you lose all the money you put in. But on the bright side, if you buy shares in a high quality company at the right price, you can gain well over 100%. Long term Lotus KFM Berhad (KLSE:LOTUS) shareholders would be well aware of this, since the stock is up 114% in five years. In more good news, the share price has risen 15% in thirty days.

The past week has proven to be lucrative for Lotus KFM Berhad investors, so let's see if fundamentals drove the company's five-year performance.

View our latest analysis for Lotus KFM Berhad

We don't think that Lotus KFM Berhad's modest trailing twelve month profit has the market's full attention at the moment. We think revenue is probably a better guide. Generally speaking, we'd consider a stock like this alongside loss-making companies, simply because the quantum of the profit is so low. For shareholders to have confidence a company will grow profits significantly, it must grow revenue.

For the last half decade, Lotus KFM Berhad can boast revenue growth at a rate of 0.03% per year. Put simply, that growth rate fails to impress. So we wouldn't have expected to see the share price to have lifted 16% for each year during that time, but that's what happened. Shareholders should be pretty happy with that, although interested investors might want to examine the financial data more closely to see if the gains are really justified. It may be that the market is pretty optimistic about Lotus KFM Berhad.

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

KLSE:LOTUS Earnings and Revenue Growth October 23rd 2024

Take a more thorough look at Lotus KFM Berhad's financial health with this free report on its balance sheet.

What About The Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?

We've already covered Lotus KFM Berhad's share price action, but we should also mention its total shareholder return (TSR). Arguably the TSR is a more complete return calculation because it accounts for the value of dividends (as if they were reinvested), along with the hypothetical value of any discounted capital that have been offered to shareholders. We note that Lotus KFM Berhad's TSR, at 118% is higher than its share price return of 114%. When you consider it hasn't been paying a dividend, this data suggests shareholders have benefitted from a spin-off, or had the opportunity to acquire attractively priced shares in a discounted capital raising.

A Different Perspective

Investors in Lotus KFM Berhad had a tough year, with a total loss of 6.3%, against a market gain of about 18%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 17% per year over half a decade. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. To that end, you should be aware of the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Lotus KFM Berhad .

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: many of them are unnoticed AND have attractive valuation).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Malaysian exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.