Stock Analysis

Hup Seng Industries Berhad's (KLSE:HUPSENG) Dividend Will Be MYR0.01

KLSE:HUPSENG
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Hup Seng Industries Berhad's (KLSE:HUPSENG) investors are due to receive a payment of MYR0.01 per share on 5th of April. This payment means that the dividend yield will be 4.0%, which is around the industry average.

See our latest analysis for Hup Seng Industries Berhad

Hup Seng Industries Berhad's Earnings Easily Cover The Distributions

We like a dividend to be consistent over the long term, so checking whether it is sustainable is important. Prior to this announcement, Hup Seng Industries Berhad's dividend was making up a very large proportion of earnings and perhaps more concerning was that it was 129% of cash flows. This is certainly a risk factor, as reduced cash flows could force the company to pay a lower dividend.

Over the next year, EPS is forecast to expand by 72.8%. Assuming the dividend continues along the course it has been charting recently, our estimates show the payout ratio being 51% which brings it into quite a comfortable range.

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KLSE:HUPSENG Historic Dividend March 2nd 2023

Dividend Volatility

While the company has been paying a dividend for a long time, it has cut the dividend at least once in the last 10 years. Since 2013, the dividend has gone from MYR0.0225 total annually to MYR0.03. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 2.9% a year over that time. Modest growth in the dividend is good to see, but we think this is offset by historical cuts to the payments. It is hard to live on a dividend income if the company's earnings are not consistent.

The Dividend Has Limited Growth Potential

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to see if earnings per share is growing. Over the past five years, it looks as though Hup Seng Industries Berhad's EPS has declined at around 10% a year. Such rapid declines definitely have the potential to constrain dividend payments if the trend continues into the future. On the bright side, earnings are predicted to gain some ground over the next year, but until this turns into a pattern we wouldn't be feeling too comfortable.

Hup Seng Industries Berhad's Dividend Doesn't Look Sustainable

Overall, it's nice to see a consistent dividend payment, but we think that longer term, the current level of payment might be unsustainable. The track record isn't great, and the payments are a bit high to be considered sustainable. We would be a touch cautious of relying on this stock primarily for the dividend income.

Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. For instance, we've picked out 1 warning sign for Hup Seng Industries Berhad that investors should take into consideration. Is Hup Seng Industries Berhad not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.