Stock Analysis

Why It Might Not Make Sense To Buy Heineken Malaysia Berhad (KLSE:HEIM) For Its Upcoming Dividend

KLSE:HEIM
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Readers hoping to buy Heineken Malaysia Berhad (KLSE:HEIM) for its dividend will need to make their move shortly, as the stock is about to trade ex-dividend. The ex-dividend date occurs one day before the record date which is the day on which shareholders need to be on the company's books in order to receive a dividend. The ex-dividend date is of consequence because whenever a stock is bought or sold, the trade takes at least two business day to settle. Therefore, if you purchase Heineken Malaysia Berhad's shares on or after the 8th of October, you won't be eligible to receive the dividend, when it is paid on the 30th of October.

The company's next dividend payment will be RM00.40 per share, on the back of last year when the company paid a total of RM1.28 to shareholders. Based on the last year's worth of payments, Heineken Malaysia Berhad has a trailing yield of 5.5% on the current stock price of RM023.42. Dividends are a major contributor to investment returns for long term holders, but only if the dividend continues to be paid. That's why we should always check whether the dividend payments appear sustainable, and if the company is growing.

Check out our latest analysis for Heineken Malaysia Berhad

If a company pays out more in dividends than it earned, then the dividend might become unsustainable - hardly an ideal situation. Last year Heineken Malaysia Berhad paid out 97% of its profits as dividends to shareholders, suggesting the dividend is not well covered by earnings. That said, even highly profitable companies sometimes might not generate enough cash to pay the dividend, which is why we should always check if the dividend is covered by cash flow. It paid out 77% of its free cash flow as dividends, which is within usual limits but will limit the company's ability to lift the dividend if there's no growth.

It's good to see that while Heineken Malaysia Berhad's dividends were not well covered by profits, at least they are affordable from a cash perspective. Still, if this were to happen repeatedly, we'd be concerned about whether the dividend is sustainable in a downturn.

Click here to see the company's payout ratio, plus analyst estimates of its future dividends.

historic-dividend
KLSE:HEIM Historic Dividend October 3rd 2024

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

Businesses with strong growth prospects usually make the best dividend payers, because it's easier to grow dividends when earnings per share are improving. If earnings decline and the company is forced to cut its dividend, investors could watch the value of their investment go up in smoke. This is why it's a relief to see Heineken Malaysia Berhad earnings per share are up 7.2% per annum over the last five years.

Many investors will assess a company's dividend performance by evaluating how much the dividend payments have changed over time. Heineken Malaysia Berhad has delivered an average of 6.5% per year annual increase in its dividend, based on the past 10 years of dividend payments. We're glad to see dividends rising alongside earnings over a number of years, which may be a sign the company intends to share the growth with shareholders.

To Sum It Up

Is Heineken Malaysia Berhad an attractive dividend stock, or better left on the shelf? While earnings per share have been growing slowly, Heineken Malaysia Berhad is paying out an uncomfortably high percentage of its earnings. However it did pay out a lower percentage of its cashflow. With the way things are shaping up from a dividend perspective, we'd be inclined to steer clear of Heineken Malaysia Berhad.

Having said that, if you're looking at this stock without much concern for the dividend, you should still be familiar of the risks involved with Heineken Malaysia Berhad. For example, we've found 1 warning sign for Heineken Malaysia Berhad that we recommend you consider before investing in the business.

A common investing mistake is buying the first interesting stock you see. Here you can find a full list of high-yield dividend stocks.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Heineken Malaysia Berhad might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.