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A Piece Of The Puzzle Missing From Borneo Oil Berhad's (KLSE:BORNOIL) 100% Share Price Climb
Borneo Oil Berhad (KLSE:BORNOIL) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 100% after a shaky period beforehand. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 33% in the last twelve months.
Even after such a large jump in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Borneo Oil Berhad's P/S ratio of 1.5x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Hospitality industry in Malaysia is also close to 1.6x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
See our latest analysis for Borneo Oil Berhad
What Does Borneo Oil Berhad's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Borneo Oil Berhad over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps investors believe the recent revenue performance is enough to keep in line with the industry, which is keeping the P/S from dropping off. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Borneo Oil Berhad's earnings, revenue and cash flow.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Borneo Oil Berhad's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 19%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow revenue by an impressive 40% in total over the last three years. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.
When compared to the industry's one-year growth forecast of 6.6%, the most recent medium-term revenue trajectory is noticeably more alluring
In light of this, it's curious that Borneo Oil Berhad's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance is at its limits and have been accepting lower selling prices.
The Final Word
Its shares have lifted substantially and now Borneo Oil Berhad's P/S is back within range of the industry median. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
To our surprise, Borneo Oil Berhad revealed its three-year revenue trends aren't contributing to its P/S as much as we would have predicted, given they look better than current industry expectations. It'd be fair to assume that potential risks the company faces could be the contributing factor to the lower than expected P/S. While recent revenue trends over the past medium-term suggest that the risk of a price decline is low, investors appear to see the likelihood of revenue fluctuations in the future.
Having said that, be aware Borneo Oil Berhad is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those makes us a bit uncomfortable.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Borneo Oil Berhad might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About KLSE:BORNOIL
Borneo Oil Berhad
An investment holding company, operates and franchises fast food restaurants in Malaysia and Australia.
Acceptable track record with mediocre balance sheet.