Stock Analysis

Is Texchem Resources Bhd (KLSE:TEXCHEM) A Risky Investment?

KLSE:TEXCHEM
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Texchem Resources Bhd (KLSE:TEXCHEM) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for Texchem Resources Bhd

What Is Texchem Resources Bhd's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Texchem Resources Bhd had debt of RM143.8m at the end of December 2020, a reduction from RM164.4m over a year. On the flip side, it has RM87.5m in cash leading to net debt of about RM56.3m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
KLSE:TEXCHEM Debt to Equity History April 16th 2021

How Strong Is Texchem Resources Bhd's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Texchem Resources Bhd had liabilities of RM311.2m due within a year, and liabilities of RM112.1m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had RM87.5m in cash and RM182.2m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by RM153.6m.

When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's RM133.8m market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Texchem Resources Bhd has a very low debt to EBITDA ratio of 1.2 so it is strange to see weak interest coverage, with last year's EBIT being only 1.7 times the interest expense. So one way or the other, it's clear the debt levels are not trivial. It is well worth noting that Texchem Resources Bhd's EBIT shot up like bamboo after rain, gaining 57% in the last twelve months. That'll make it easier to manage its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Texchem Resources Bhd will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, Texchem Resources Bhd actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.

Our View

Texchem Resources Bhd's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was a real positive on this analysis, as was its EBIT growth rate. But truth be told its interest cover had us nibbling our nails. Looking at all this data makes us feel a little cautious about Texchem Resources Bhd's debt levels. While we appreciate debt can enhance returns on equity, we'd suggest that shareholders keep close watch on its debt levels, lest they increase. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 3 warning signs with Texchem Resources Bhd (at least 1 which is concerning) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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