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PLYTEC Holding Berhad's (KLSE:PLYTEC) 27% Price Boost Is Out Of Tune With Earnings
Despite an already strong run, PLYTEC Holding Berhad (KLSE:PLYTEC) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 27% in the last thirty days. Longer-term shareholders would be thankful for the recovery in the share price since it's now virtually flat for the year after the recent bounce.
After such a large jump in price, given close to half the companies in Malaysia have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 18x, you may consider PLYTEC Holding Berhad as a stock to avoid entirely with its 35.2x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
As an illustration, earnings have deteriorated at PLYTEC Holding Berhad over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
See our latest analysis for PLYTEC Holding Berhad
Does Growth Match The High P/E?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like PLYTEC Holding Berhad's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 54% decrease to the company's bottom line. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 26% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Weighing that medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 18% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this information, we find it concerning that PLYTEC Holding Berhad is trading at a P/E higher than the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
What We Can Learn From PLYTEC Holding Berhad's P/E?
PLYTEC Holding Berhad's P/E is flying high just like its stock has during the last month. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've established that PLYTEC Holding Berhad currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent earnings have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for PLYTEC Holding Berhad that you should be aware of.
You might be able to find a better investment than PLYTEC Holding Berhad. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About KLSE:PLYTEC
PLYTEC Holding Berhad
An investment holding company, provides construction engineering solutions and services primarily in Malaysia.
Adequate balance sheet with questionable track record.