Stock Analysis

Is Metrod Holdings Berhad (KLSE:METROD) Using Too Much Debt?

KLSE:METROD
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Metrod Holdings Berhad (KLSE:METROD) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Metrod Holdings Berhad

What Is Metrod Holdings Berhad's Net Debt?

As you can see below, Metrod Holdings Berhad had RM882.2m of debt at September 2020, down from RM1.02b a year prior. On the flip side, it has RM157.2m in cash leading to net debt of about RM724.9m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
KLSE:METROD Debt to Equity History January 26th 2021

A Look At Metrod Holdings Berhad's Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Metrod Holdings Berhad had liabilities of RM721.9m falling due within a year, and liabilities of RM239.8m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of RM157.2m and RM218.4m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total RM586.1m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit casts a shadow over the RM160.8m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Metrod Holdings Berhad would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Metrod Holdings Berhad shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (14.6), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 1.0 times the interest expense. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. Worse, Metrod Holdings Berhad's EBIT was down 47% over the last year. If earnings keep going like that over the long term, it has a snowball's chance in hell of paying off that debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Metrod Holdings Berhad will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, Metrod Holdings Berhad saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

On the face of it, Metrod Holdings Berhad's EBIT growth rate left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. And even its interest cover fails to inspire much confidence. It looks to us like Metrod Holdings Berhad carries a significant balance sheet burden. If you play with fire you risk getting burnt, so we'd probably give this stock a wide berth. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Metrod Holdings Berhad is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 2 of those are potentially serious...

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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