What underlying fundamental trends can indicate that a company might be in decline? A business that's potentially in decline often shows two trends, a return on capital employed (ROCE) that's declining, and a base of capital employed that's also declining. This indicates the company is producing less profit from its investments and its total assets are decreasing. So after glancing at the trends within Engtex Group Berhad (KLSE:ENGTEX), we weren't too hopeful.
What is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Engtex Group Berhad:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.042 = RM32m ÷ (RM1.3b - RM484m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2020).
Thus, Engtex Group Berhad has an ROCE of 4.2%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Trade Distributors industry average of 6.3%.
View our latest analysis for Engtex Group Berhad
In the above chart we have measured Engtex Group Berhad's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report for Engtex Group Berhad.
So How Is Engtex Group Berhad's ROCE Trending?
There is reason to be cautious about Engtex Group Berhad, given the returns are trending downwards. To be more specific, the ROCE was 13% five years ago, but since then it has dropped noticeably. On top of that, it's worth noting that the amount of capital employed within the business has remained relatively steady. Since returns are falling and the business has the same amount of assets employed, this can suggest it's a mature business that hasn't had much growth in the last five years. So because these trends aren't typically conducive to creating a multi-bagger, we wouldn't hold our breath on Engtex Group Berhad becoming one if things continue as they have.
The Bottom Line On Engtex Group Berhad's ROCE
In the end, the trend of lower returns on the same amount of capital isn't typically an indication that we're looking at a growth stock. Investors haven't taken kindly to these developments, since the stock has declined 53% from where it was five years ago. That being the case, unless the underlying trends revert to a more positive trajectory, we'd consider looking elsewhere.
One more thing: We've identified 3 warning signs with Engtex Group Berhad (at least 1 which is a bit concerning) , and understanding them would certainly be useful.
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About KLSE:ENGTEX
Engtex Group Berhad
Engages in the wholesale and distribution of pipes, valves, fittings, plumbing materials, steel related products, general hardware products, and construction materials in Malaysia.
Solid track record with reasonable growth potential.