Stock Analysis

Is Chuan Huat Resources Berhad (KLSE:CHUAN) A Risky Investment?

KLSE:CHUAN
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Chuan Huat Resources Berhad (KLSE:CHUAN) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Chuan Huat Resources Berhad

What Is Chuan Huat Resources Berhad's Debt?

As you can see below, Chuan Huat Resources Berhad had RM203.9m of debt at September 2020, down from RM268.2m a year prior. However, because it has a cash reserve of RM22.6m, its net debt is less, at about RM181.3m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
KLSE:CHUAN Debt to Equity History January 18th 2021

How Strong Is Chuan Huat Resources Berhad's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Chuan Huat Resources Berhad had liabilities of RM233.1m due within 12 months and liabilities of RM39.9m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had RM22.6m in cash and RM186.0m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling RM64.4m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of RM69.2m. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Weak interest cover of 0.19 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 28.4 hit our confidence in Chuan Huat Resources Berhad like a one-two punch to the gut. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. Worse, Chuan Huat Resources Berhad's EBIT was down 87% over the last year. If earnings keep going like that over the long term, it has a snowball's chance in hell of paying off that debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Chuan Huat Resources Berhad will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, Chuan Huat Resources Berhad saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

On the face of it, Chuan Huat Resources Berhad's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow left us tentative about the stock, and its EBIT growth rate was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. And furthermore, its net debt to EBITDA also fails to instill confidence. Taking into account all the aforementioned factors, it looks like Chuan Huat Resources Berhad has too much debt. While some investors love that sort of risky play, it's certainly not our cup of tea. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 4 warning signs with Chuan Huat Resources Berhad (at least 2 which are a bit unpleasant) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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