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Boustead Holdings Berhad's (KLSE:BSTEAD) 26% Price Boost Is Out Of Tune With Earnings
Boustead Holdings Berhad (KLSE:BSTEAD) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 26% gain in the last month alone. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 26%.
Following the firm bounce in price, given close to half the companies in Malaysia have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 13x, you may consider Boustead Holdings Berhad as a stock to avoid entirely with its 28x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.
For example, consider that Boustead Holdings Berhad's financial performance has been poor lately as it's earnings have been in decline. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Check out our latest analysis for Boustead Holdings Berhad
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Boustead Holdings Berhad's earnings, revenue and cash flow.Does Growth Match The High P/E?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as Boustead Holdings Berhad's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 64%. This has erased any of its gains during the last three years, with practically no change in EPS being achieved in total. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.
Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 11% shows it's noticeably less attractive on an annualised basis.
With this information, we find it concerning that Boustead Holdings Berhad is trading at a P/E higher than the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
What We Can Learn From Boustead Holdings Berhad's P/E?
Boustead Holdings Berhad's P/E is flying high just like its stock has during the last month. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Boustead Holdings Berhad currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider market forecast. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 5 warning signs for Boustead Holdings Berhad (of which 1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) you should know about.
If you're unsure about the strength of Boustead Holdings Berhad's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Boustead Holdings Berhad might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About KLSE:BSTEAD
Boustead Holdings Berhad
Boustead Holdings Berhad, an investment holding company, engages in property and industrial, plantation, pharmaceutical, heavy industries, and trading, finance, and investment businesses in Malaysia and internationally.
Good value with worrying balance sheet.