UMW Holdings Berhad

KLSE:UMW Stock Report

Market Cap: RM 5.8b

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UMW Holdings Berhad Valuation

Is UMW undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of UMW when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: UMW (MYR4.97) is trading below our estimate of fair value (MYR5.46)

Significantly Below Fair Value: UMW is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for UMW?

Key metric: As UMW is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for UMW. This is calculated by dividing UMW's market cap by their current earnings.
What is UMW's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio8.1x
EarningsRM 717.07m
Market CapRM 5.81b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does UMW's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for UMW vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average15.3x
ORIENT Oriental Holdings Berhad
11.7xn/aRM 4.4b
DRBHCOM DRB-HICOM Berhad
21.4x41.8%RM 2.1b
PECCA Pecca Group Berhad
17.9xn/aRM 1.0b
2204 China Motor
10.2xn/aNT$46.9b
UMW UMW Holdings Berhad
8.1x-13.3%RM 5.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: UMW is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.1x) compared to the peer average (23.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does UMW's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Auto Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
UMW 8.1xIndustry Avg. 19.2xNo. of Companies10PE01224364860+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: UMW is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.1x) compared to the Asian Auto industry average (16.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is UMW's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

UMW PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio8.1x
Fair PE Ratio9.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: UMW is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.8x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst UMW forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
RM 5.09
0%
6.7%RM 6.22RM 4.86n/a12
Nov ’25n/a
RM 5.09
0%
6.7%RM 6.22RM 4.86n/a12
Oct ’25n/a
RM 5.09
0%
6.7%RM 6.22RM 4.86n/a12
Sep ’25n/a
RM 5.09
0%
6.7%RM 6.22RM 4.86n/a12
Aug ’25n/a
RM 5.09
0%
6.7%RM 6.22RM 4.86n/a12
Jul ’25n/a
RM 5.09
0%
6.7%RM 6.22RM 4.86n/a12
Jun ’25n/a
RM 5.09
0%
6.7%RM 6.22RM 4.86n/a12
May ’25n/a
RM 5.09
0%
6.7%RM 6.22RM 4.86n/a12
Apr ’25n/a
RM 5.09
0%
6.7%RM 6.22RM 4.86n/a12
Mar ’25n/a
RM 5.09
0%
6.7%RM 6.22RM 4.86n/a12
Feb ’25RM 4.93
RM 5.09
+3.2%
6.7%RM 6.22RM 4.86n/a12
Jan ’25RM 4.98
RM 5.10
+2.3%
6.8%RM 6.22RM 4.75n/a14
Dec ’24RM 4.91
RM 5.10
+3.8%
6.8%RM 6.22RM 4.75n/a14
Nov ’24RM 4.84
RM 5.08
+4.9%
6.7%RM 6.02RM 4.57n/a15
Oct ’24RM 4.76
RM 5.06
+6.4%
7.0%RM 6.02RM 4.57n/a15
Sep ’24RM 4.84
RM 5.06
+4.6%
7.0%RM 6.02RM 4.57n/a15
Aug ’24RM 4.12
RM 4.49
+9.0%
13.2%RM 5.50RM 3.50n/a15
Jul ’24RM 3.75
RM 4.42
+17.9%
13.1%RM 5.50RM 3.50n/a14
Jun ’24RM 3.89
RM 4.56
+17.1%
13.2%RM 5.50RM 3.50n/a14
May ’24RM 3.87
RM 4.58
+18.4%
12.6%RM 5.50RM 3.45n/a14
Apr ’24RM 3.85
RM 4.53
+17.7%
13.5%RM 5.50RM 3.45n/a14
Mar ’24RM 3.85
RM 4.53
+17.7%
13.5%RM 5.50RM 3.45n/a14
Feb ’24RM 3.70
RM 4.13
+11.5%
14.3%RM 5.00RM 3.30RM 4.9314
Jan ’24RM 3.47
RM 4.11
+18.4%
13.8%RM 5.00RM 3.30RM 4.9814
Dec ’23RM 3.33
RM 4.11
+23.4%
13.8%RM 5.00RM 3.30RM 4.9114

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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