UMW Holdings Berhad

KLSE:UMW Stock Report

Market Cap: RM 5.8b

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UMW Holdings Berhad Valuation

Is UMW undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of UMW when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: UMW (MYR4.97) is trading below our estimate of fair value (MYR5.46)

Significantly Below Fair Value: UMW is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for UMW?

Key metric: As UMW is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for UMW. This is calculated by dividing UMW's market cap by their current earnings.
What is UMW's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio8.1x
EarningsRM 717.07m
Market CapRM 5.81b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does UMW's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for UMW vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average15.5x
ORIENT Oriental Holdings Berhad
11.5xn/aRM 4.4b
DRBHCOM DRB-HICOM Berhad
22.4x41.8%RM 2.1b
PECCA Pecca Group Berhad
18.6xn/aRM 1.1b
2204 China Motor
9.4xn/aNT$42.6b
UMW UMW Holdings Berhad
8.1x-13.3%RM 5.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: UMW is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.1x) compared to the peer average (23.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does UMW's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Auto Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
UMW 8.1xIndustry Avg. 18.8xNo. of Companies9PE01224364860+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: UMW is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.1x) compared to the Asian Auto industry average (16.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is UMW's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

UMW PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio8.1x
Fair PE Ratio9.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: UMW is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.8x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst UMW forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
RM 5.09
0%
6.7%RM 6.22RM 4.86n/a12
Dec ’25n/a
RM 5.09
0%
6.7%RM 6.22RM 4.86n/a12
Nov ’25n/a
RM 5.09
0%
6.7%RM 6.22RM 4.86n/a12
Oct ’25n/a
RM 5.09
0%
6.7%RM 6.22RM 4.86n/a12
Sep ’25n/a
RM 5.09
0%
6.7%RM 6.22RM 4.86n/a12
Aug ’25n/a
RM 5.09
0%
6.7%RM 6.22RM 4.86n/a12
Jul ’25n/a
RM 5.09
0%
6.7%RM 6.22RM 4.86n/a12
Jun ’25n/a
RM 5.09
0%
6.7%RM 6.22RM 4.86n/a12
May ’25n/a
RM 5.09
0%
6.7%RM 6.22RM 4.86n/a12
Apr ’25n/a
RM 5.09
0%
6.7%RM 6.22RM 4.86n/a12
Mar ’25n/a
RM 5.09
0%
6.7%RM 6.22RM 4.86n/a12
Feb ’25RM 4.93
RM 5.09
+3.2%
6.7%RM 6.22RM 4.86n/a12
Jan ’25RM 4.98
RM 5.10
+2.3%
6.8%RM 6.22RM 4.75n/a14
Dec ’24RM 4.91
RM 5.10
+3.8%
6.8%RM 6.22RM 4.75n/a14
Nov ’24RM 4.84
RM 5.08
+4.9%
6.7%RM 6.02RM 4.57n/a15
Oct ’24RM 4.76
RM 5.06
+6.4%
7.0%RM 6.02RM 4.57n/a15
Sep ’24RM 4.84
RM 5.06
+4.6%
7.0%RM 6.02RM 4.57n/a15
Aug ’24RM 4.12
RM 4.49
+9.0%
13.2%RM 5.50RM 3.50n/a15
Jul ’24RM 3.75
RM 4.42
+17.9%
13.1%RM 5.50RM 3.50n/a14
Jun ’24RM 3.89
RM 4.56
+17.1%
13.2%RM 5.50RM 3.50n/a14
May ’24RM 3.87
RM 4.58
+18.4%
12.6%RM 5.50RM 3.45n/a14
Apr ’24RM 3.85
RM 4.53
+17.7%
13.5%RM 5.50RM 3.45n/a14
Mar ’24RM 3.85
RM 4.53
+17.7%
13.5%RM 5.50RM 3.45n/a14
Feb ’24RM 3.70
RM 4.13
+11.5%
14.3%RM 5.00RM 3.30RM 4.9314
Jan ’24RM 3.47
RM 4.11
+18.4%
13.8%RM 5.00RM 3.30RM 4.9814
Dec ’23RM 3.33
RM 4.11
+23.4%
13.8%RM 5.00RM 3.30RM 4.9114

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/02/09 21:48
End of Day Share Price 2024/02/09 00:00
Earnings2023/09/30
Annual Earnings2022/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

UMW Holdings Berhad is covered by 24 analysts. 12 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Brian YeohAffin Hwang Investment Bank
Kevin LowAffin Hwang Investment Bank
Jake Hui YapAmInvestment Bank Berhad