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UMW Holdings Berhad Future Growth

Future criteria checks 0/6

UMW Holdings Berhad's revenue and earnings are forecast to decline at 7.5% and 13.3% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to decline by 15% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 9.7% in 3 years.

Key information

-13.3%

Earnings growth rate

-15.0%

EPS growth rate

Auto earnings growth	9.5%
Revenue growth rate	-7.5%
Future return on equity	9.7%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	09 Feb 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

We Like These Underlying Return On Capital Trends At UMW Holdings Berhad (KLSE:UMW)

Feb 15

We Think UMW Holdings Berhad (KLSE:UMW) Can Manage Its Debt With Ease

Oct 18

UMW Holdings Berhad (KLSE:UMW) Is Doing The Right Things To Multiply Its Share Price

May 24

UMW Holdings Berhad's (KLSE:UMW) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year's

Apr 07

UMW Holdings Berhad (KLSE:UMW) Will Pay A Larger Dividend Than Last Year At RM0.058

Feb 27

What Does UMW Holdings Berhad's (KLSE:UMW) Share Price Indicate?

Dec 01

We Like These Underlying Return On Capital Trends At UMW Holdings Berhad (KLSE:UMW)

Sep 21

We Think UMW Holdings Berhad (KLSE:UMW) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

Jun 03

Is It Too Late To Consider Buying UMW Holdings Berhad (KLSE:UMW)?

Apr 08

You Have To Love UMW Holdings Berhad's (KLSE:UMW) Dividend

Mar 23

We're Watching These Trends At UMW Holdings Berhad (KLSE:UMW)

Mar 05

Is UMW Holdings Berhad (KLSE:UMW) Using Too Much Debt?

Feb 19

Should You Use UMW Holdings Berhad's (KLSE:UMW) Statutory Earnings To Analyse It?

Feb 03

Here's What UMW Holdings Berhad's (KLSE:UMW) Shareholder Ownership Structure Looks Like

Jan 15

At RM3.44, Is UMW Holdings Berhad (KLSE:UMW) Worth Looking At Closely?

Dec 30

UMW Holdings Berhad's (KLSE:UMW) Shareholders Are Down 57% On Their Shares

Dec 15

UMW Holdings Berhad Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now

Nov 27

Here's What We Make Of UMW Holdings Berhad's (KLSE:UMW) Returns On Capital

Nov 26

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

KLSE:UMW - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (MYR Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	14,438	534	308	N/A	1
12/31/2025	14,893	467	112	677	9
12/31/2024	15,024	453	-46	748	12
12/31/2023	16,200	505	-425	665	12
9/30/2023	18,074	717	73	560	N/A
6/30/2023	17,297	645	164	637	N/A
3/31/2023	16,543	448	135	671	N/A
12/31/2022	15,814	415	695	1,195	N/A
9/30/2022	15,084	549	927	1,405	N/A
6/30/2022	13,043	400	763	1,236	N/A
3/31/2022	11,757	290	293	701	N/A
12/31/2021	11,061	268	-153	261	N/A
9/30/2021	10,658	183	-281	88	N/A
6/30/2021	11,305	315	493	800	N/A
3/31/2021	10,390	240	460	690	N/A
12/31/2020	9,555	205	726	946	N/A
9/30/2020	9,415	268	900	1,168	N/A
6/30/2020	9,637	294	-247	60	N/A
3/31/2020	11,078	430	48	397	N/A
12/31/2019	11,739	472	-90	255	N/A
9/30/2019	11,318	367	472	1,071	N/A
6/30/2019	11,723	327	1,032	1,547	N/A
3/31/2019	11,671	512	-257	310	N/A
12/31/2018	11,306	521	-737	174	N/A
9/30/2018	11,602	496	-1,025	-86	N/A
6/30/2018	10,951	421	-1,337	-140	N/A
3/31/2018	10,789	167	-526	680	N/A
12/31/2017	11,069	165	243	1,113	N/A
9/30/2017	10,895	187	-333	619	N/A
6/30/2017	11,063	199	N/A	410	N/A
3/31/2017	11,023	236	N/A	967	N/A
12/31/2016	10,439	196	N/A	291	N/A
9/30/2016	11,818	-199	N/A	86	N/A
6/30/2016	12,544	-193	N/A	375	N/A
3/31/2016	13,313	-149	N/A	598	N/A
12/31/2015	14,442	-37	N/A	949	N/A
9/30/2015	13,940	325	N/A	1,084	N/A
6/30/2015	14,110	508	N/A	1,336	N/A
3/31/2015	14,591	582	N/A	1,239	N/A
12/31/2014	14,934	652	N/A	1,378	N/A
9/30/2014	14,892	655	N/A	1,387	N/A
6/30/2014	14,646	560	N/A	1,648	N/A
3/31/2014	14,178	669	N/A	1,207	N/A
12/31/2013	13,954	653	N/A	948	N/A
9/30/2013	14,374	823	N/A	819	N/A
6/30/2013	14,875	1,021	N/A	232	N/A
3/31/2013	15,485	994	N/A	939	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: UMW's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-13.3% per year).

Earnings vs Market: UMW's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-13.3% per year).

High Growth Earnings: UMW's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: UMW's revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-7.5% per year).

High Growth Revenue: UMW's revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-7.5% per year).

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: UMW's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (9.7%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2024/02/09 12:09
End of Day Share Price	2024/02/09 00:00
Earnings	2023/09/30
Annual Earnings	2022/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

UMW Holdings Berhad is covered by 24 analysts. 12 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Brian Yeoh	Affin Hwang Investment Bank
Kevin Low	Affin Hwang Investment Bank
Jake Hui Yap	AmInvestment Bank Berhad

This company listing is no longer active

UMW Holdings Berhad Future Growth

Future criteria checks 0/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 11%

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 15%

Price target increased to RM4.13

Consensus forecasts updated

Analysts update estimates

Price target raised to RM3.59

Recent updates

SIME DARBY ENTERPRISE SDN BHD completed the acquisition of 38.82% stake in UMW Holdings Berhad (KLSE:UMW).

UMW Holdings Shares to be Delisted on February 19 Following Sime Darby Takeover

High number of new directors

UMW Holdings Berhad Appoints Mustamir Mohamad as Chief Executive Officer

UMW Holdings Berhad Announces Resignation of Datin Paduka Kartini Binti Hj Abdul Manaf as Non Independent and Non Executive Director

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 11%

Third quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: RM0.15 (vs RM0.086 in 3Q 2022)

Umw Holdings Berhad Announces Dato' Sri Ahmad Fuaad Bin Mohd Kenali Expires Its Tenure as Group CEO

New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth

UMW Holdings Berhad Announces Resignation of Encik Mohd Shahazwan Bin Mohd Harris as Non Independent and Non Executive Member of Risk Committee

SIME DARBY ENTERPRISE SDN BHD agreed to acquire 61.18% stake in UMW Holdings Berhad (KLSE:UMW) from Permodalan Nasional Berhad and AmanahRaya Trustees Berhad for MYR3.6 billion.

Is UMW Holdings Berhad (KLSE:UMW) A Risky Investment?

UMW Holdings Berhad Appoints Encik Ahmad Adib Bin Mukhtar as Alternate Non Independent and Non Executive Director, Effective 1 August 2023

Investors Will Want UMW Holdings Berhad's (KLSE:UMW) Growth In ROCE To Persist

First quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: RM0.12 (vs RM0.087 in 1Q 2022)

Full year 2022 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind

Upcoming dividend of RM0.11 per share at 3.7% yield

Is It Time To Consider Buying UMW Holdings Berhad (KLSE:UMW)?

We Think UMW Holdings Berhad (KLSE:UMW) Can Manage Its Debt With Ease

Full year 2022 earnings released: EPS: RM0.35 (vs RM0.23 in FY 2021)

We Like These Underlying Return On Capital Trends At UMW Holdings Berhad (KLSE:UMW)

Upcoming dividend of RM0.03 per share

Third quarter 2022 earnings released: EPS: RM0.086 (vs RM0.041 loss in 3Q 2021)

High number of new directors

We Think UMW Holdings Berhad (KLSE:UMW) Can Manage Its Debt With Ease

UMW Holdings Berhad Appoints Datuk Yasmin Binti Mahmood as Independent and Non Executive Director

Umw Holdings Berhad Announces Retirement of Hasmah Binti Abdullah as Independent and Non Executive Member of Risk Committee

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 15%

Second quarter 2022 earnings released: EPS: RM0.092 (vs RM0.018 loss in 2Q 2021)

High number of new directors

UMW Holdings Berhad Appoints Encik Shahin Farouque Bin Jammal Ahmad as Non Independent and Non Executive Director

Price target increased to RM4.13

UMW Holdings Berhad (KLSE:UMW) Is Doing The Right Things To Multiply Its Share Price

Full year 2021 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

UMW Holdings Berhad's (KLSE:UMW) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year's

Upcoming dividend of RM0.058 per share

Umw Holdings Berhad Appoints Dato Azmi Bin Mohd Ali as Independent and Non Executive Member of Risk Committee, Effective 01 April 2022

UMW Holdings Berhad (KLSE:UMW) Will Pay A Larger Dividend Than Last Year At RM0.058

UMW Holdings Berhad Proposes Final Dividend in Respect of the Financial Year Ended 31 December 2021, Payable on 29 April 2022

Full year 2021 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Consensus forecasts updated

What Does UMW Holdings Berhad's (KLSE:UMW) Share Price Indicate?

Third quarter 2021 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

We Like These Underlying Return On Capital Trends At UMW Holdings Berhad (KLSE:UMW)

Second quarter 2021 earnings released

We Think UMW Holdings Berhad (KLSE:UMW) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

First quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS RM0.083 (vs RM0.038 in 1Q 2020)

Full year 2020 earnings released: EPS RM0.17 (vs RM0.40 in FY 2019)

Upcoming dividend of RM0.04 per share

Is It Too Late To Consider Buying UMW Holdings Berhad (KLSE:UMW)?

You Have To Love UMW Holdings Berhad's (KLSE:UMW) Dividend

New 90-day high: RM3.49

We're Watching These Trends At UMW Holdings Berhad (KLSE:UMW)

Analysts update estimates

Full year 2020 earnings released: EPS RM0.17 (vs RM0.40 in FY 2019)

Price target raised to RM3.59

Revenue and earnings beat expectations

Is UMW Holdings Berhad (KLSE:UMW) Using Too Much Debt?

Should You Use UMW Holdings Berhad's (KLSE:UMW) Statutory Earnings To Analyse It?

Here's What UMW Holdings Berhad's (KLSE:UMW) Shareholder Ownership Structure Looks Like

At RM3.44, Is UMW Holdings Berhad (KLSE:UMW) Worth Looking At Closely?

UMW Holdings Berhad's (KLSE:UMW) Shareholders Are Down 57% On Their Shares

Market bids up stock over the past week

Market bids up stock over the past week

New 90-day high: RM3.30

Analysts increase EPS estimates to RM0.13

UMW Holdings Berhad Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now

Price target raised to RM2.93