Ciena Valuation
Is CIEN * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
1/6Valuation Score 1/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of CIEN * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: CIEN * (MX$1432.14) is trading below our estimate of fair value (MX$1636.51)
Significantly Below Fair Value: CIEN * is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CIEN *?
Key metric: As CIEN * is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.
| What is CIEN *'s PE Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| PE Ratio | 74.1x |
| Earnings | US$138.13m |
| Market Cap | US$10.23b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 2.6x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 29.1x |
| PEG Ratio | 1.9x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does CIEN *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 32.3x | ||
JNPR Juniper Networks | 47.7x | 30.9% | US$12.0b |
2345 Accton Technology | 37.8x | 24.5% | NT$353.2b |
285 BYD Electronic (International) | 17.7x | 24.0% | HK$75.8b |
FFIV F5 | 26.1x | 10.7% | US$14.6b |
CIEN * Ciena | 74.1x | 39.5% | Mex$10.2b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CIEN * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (74.1x) compared to the peer average (32.3x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does CIEN *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Communications Industry?
| 8 Companies | Price / Earnings | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Companies | Estimated Growth | Market Cap | |
|---|---|---|---|
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CIEN * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (74.1x) compared to the Global Communications industry average (30.3x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is CIEN *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PE Ratio | 74.1x |
| Fair PE Ratio | n/a |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate CIEN *'s Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | n/a | Mex$1,335.41 0% | 12.1% | Mex$1,625.24 | Mex$934.51 | n/a | 15 |
| Nov ’25 | n/a | Mex$1,299.39 0% | 12.3% | Mex$1,599.25 | Mex$919.57 | n/a | 15 |
| Oct ’25 | n/a | Mex$1,206.29 0% | 9.1% | Mex$1,320.19 | Mex$893.07 | n/a | 15 |
| Sep ’25 | n/a | Mex$1,105.51 0% | 10.8% | Mex$1,285.33 | Mex$856.89 | n/a | 15 |
| Aug ’25 | n/a | Mex$1,043.31 0% | 10.3% | Mex$1,220.17 | Mex$813.45 | n/a | 15 |
| Jul ’25 | n/a | Mex$1,043.31 0% | 10.3% | Mex$1,220.17 | Mex$813.45 | n/a | 15 |
| Jun ’25 | n/a | Mex$973.88 0% | 12.3% | Mex$1,155.73 | Mex$722.33 | n/a | 15 |
| May ’25 | n/a | Mex$982.00 0% | 12.5% | Mex$1,132.52 | Mex$707.82 | n/a | 16 |
| Apr ’25 | n/a | Mex$1,015.51 0% | 11.1% | Mex$1,147.63 | Mex$717.27 | n/a | 14 |
| Mar ’25 | n/a | Mex$1,011.67 0% | 10.6% | Mex$1,164.02 | Mex$727.52 | n/a | 14 |
| Feb ’25 | Mex$880.00 | Mex$1,002.18 +13.9% | 11.2% | Mex$1,180.49 | Mex$716.73 | n/a | 15 |
| Jan ’25 | n/a | Mex$1,022.56 0% | 11.3% | Mex$1,215.41 | Mex$737.93 | n/a | 15 |
| Dec ’24 | n/a | Mex$1,046.75 0% | 10.3% | Mex$1,237.85 | Mex$813.44 | n/a | 15 |
| Nov ’24 | n/a | Mex$1,046.75 0% | 10.3% | Mex$1,237.85 | Mex$813.44 | n/a | 15 |
| Oct ’24 | n/a | Mex$1,046.75 0% | 10.3% | Mex$1,237.85 | Mex$813.44 | n/a | 15 |
| Sep ’24 | n/a | Mex$999.11 0% | 11.3% | Mex$1,196.39 | Mex$786.20 | n/a | 14 |
| Aug ’24 | n/a | Mex$940.86 0% | 13.4% | Mex$1,170.25 | Mex$685.43 | n/a | 14 |
| Jul ’24 | n/a | Mex$984.81 0% | 13.3% | Mex$1,202.04 | Mex$704.05 | n/a | 14 |
| Jun ’24 | Mex$828.33 | Mex$1,139.80 +37.6% | 12.4% | Mex$1,330.51 | Mex$809.10 | n/a | 14 |
| May ’24 | n/a | Mex$1,139.80 0% | 12.4% | Mex$1,330.51 | Mex$809.10 | n/a | 14 |
| Apr ’24 | n/a | Mex$1,168.66 0% | 15.0% | Mex$1,555.96 | Mex$814.17 | n/a | 15 |
| Mar ’24 | n/a | Mex$1,149.35 0% | 12.8% | Mex$1,399.15 | Mex$828.45 | n/a | 16 |
| Feb ’24 | Mex$990.82 | Mex$1,165.35 +17.6% | 12.4% | Mex$1,415.20 | Mex$837.95 | Mex$880.00 | 17 |
| Jan ’24 | Mex$957.37 | Mex$1,231.11 +28.6% | 12.4% | Mex$1,502.12 | Mex$889.42 | n/a | 17 |
| Dec ’23 | n/a | Mex$1,112.07 0% | 14.2% | Mex$1,371.20 | Mex$772.51 | n/a | 17 |
| Nov ’23 | n/a | Mex$1,156.69 0% | 13.2% | Mex$1,418.97 | Mex$899.35 | n/a | 17 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.
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