Lumentum Holdings Inc.

NasdaqGS:LITE Stock Report

Market Cap: US$67.2b

Lumentum Holdings Valuation

Is LITE undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Future Cash Flow Value

What is the Fair Price of LITE when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Future Cash Flow Value: LITE ($863.66) is trading below our estimate of future cash flow value ($1497.77)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: LITE is trading below future cash flow value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for LITE?

Key metric: As LITE is barely profitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for LITE. This is calculated by dividing LITE's market cap by their current revenue.
What is LITE's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio27x
SalesUS$2.49b
Market CapUS$67.19b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does LITE's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for LITE vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average9x
MSI Motorola Solutions
5.7x6.64%US$68.1b
CIEN Ciena
12.4x19.17%US$69.1b
UI Ubiquiti
11.1x14.49%US$34.3b
FFIV F5
6.9x6.49%US$22.2b
LITE Lumentum Holdings
27x53.47%US$67.2b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: LITE is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (27x) compared to the peer average (9x).

Historical Price to Sales Ratio

Historical Price to Sales Ratio compares a stock's price to its sales over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does LITE's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Communications Industry?

12 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
CMTL Comtech Telecommunications
0.3x-1.02%US$140.35m
TESS TESSCO Technologies
0.2xn/aUS$83.30m
EMKR Emcore
0.3xn/aUS$28.11m
CHAI Core AI Holdings
0.3xn/aUS$16.56m
LITE 27.0xIndustry Avg. 2.3xNo. of Companies12PS0246810+
12 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: LITE is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (27x) compared to the US Communications industry average (2.3x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is LITE's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

LITE PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio27x
Fair PS Ratio28.5x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: LITE is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (27x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (28.5x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst LITE forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$863.66
US$1,113.01
+28.87%
14.14%US$1,400.00US$600.00n/a24
May ’27US$949.93
US$871.56
-8.25%
24.74%US$1,270.42US$455.00n/a24
Apr ’27US$764.65
US$708.57
-7.33%
22.94%US$1,040.00US$455.00n/a23
Mar ’27US$700.91
US$601.45
-14.19%
18.04%US$900.00US$455.00n/a22
Feb ’27US$391.84
US$350.57
-10.53%
29.80%US$500.00US$140.00n/a21
Jan ’27US$368.59
US$268.43
-27.17%
26.42%US$380.00US$140.00n/a21
Dec ’26US$317.93
US$233.95
-26.41%
18.96%US$330.00US$140.00n/a21
Nov ’26US$201.56
US$167.60
-16.85%
29.64%US$330.00US$83.00n/a20
Oct ’26US$171.40
US$143.79
-16.11%
19.15%US$225.00US$83.00n/a19
Sep ’26US$132.81
US$138.26
+4.11%
13.78%US$165.00US$83.00n/a19
Aug ’26US$106.68
US$103.65
-2.84%
18.57%US$135.00US$73.00n/a17
Jul ’26US$91.49
US$93.25
+1.92%
15.15%US$120.00US$73.00n/a16
Jun ’26US$72.28
US$84.44
+16.82%
13.94%US$110.00US$65.00US$905.0016
May ’26US$61.52
US$84.81
+37.86%
22.13%US$110.00US$40.00US$949.9316
Apr ’26US$63.59
US$99.69
+56.77%
15.06%US$125.00US$70.00US$764.6516
Mar ’26US$70.33
US$100.00
+42.19%
14.90%US$125.00US$70.00US$700.9116
Feb ’26US$85.06
US$93.69
+10.14%
19.22%US$125.00US$60.00US$391.8416
Jan ’26US$83.95
US$90.38
+7.65%
17.81%US$115.00US$60.00US$368.5916
Dec ’25US$86.97
US$86.56
-0.47%
22.73%US$115.00US$51.00US$317.9316
Nov ’25US$65.35
US$60.50
-7.42%
18.19%US$80.00US$40.00US$201.5616
Oct ’25US$61.49
US$59.13
-3.85%
18.38%US$80.00US$40.00US$171.4016
Sep ’25US$57.61
US$59.13
+2.63%
18.38%US$80.00US$40.00US$132.8116
Aug ’25US$48.01
US$55.38
+15.34%
20.74%US$80.00US$38.00US$106.6816
Jul ’25US$51.43
US$54.13
+5.24%
19.60%US$80.00US$38.00US$91.4916
Jun ’25US$43.50
US$54.13
+24.43%
19.60%US$80.00US$38.00US$72.2816
US$1.11k
Fair Value
22.4% undervalued intrinsic discount
24
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

Discover undervalued companies

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/06/07 14:18
End of Day Share Price 2026/06/05 00:00
Earnings2026/03/28
Annual Earnings2025/06/28

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Lumentum Holdings Inc. is covered by 30 analysts. 22 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Skye ChenAletheia Analyst Network Limited
Thomas O'MalleyBarclays
Karl AckermanBNP Paribas