Ubiquiti Valuation

Is UI undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of UI when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: UI ($326.49) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($766.8)

Significantly Below Fair Value: UI is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for UI?

Key metric: As UI is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for UI. This is calculated by dividing UI's market cap by their current earnings.
What is UI's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio50.6x
EarningsUS$390.20m
Market CapUS$20.57b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does UI's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for UI vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average66.9x
26.1x10.7%US$15.2b
CIEN Ciena
142.6x44.4%US$12.6b
JNPR Juniper Networks
49.3x30.8%US$12.5b
MSI Motorola Solutions
49.5x17.4%US$77.2b
UI Ubiquiti
50.6x29.0%US$20.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: UI is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (50.6x) compared to the peer average (66.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does UI's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Communications Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ATVK Ameritek Ventures
4.3xn/aUS$490.58k
NIHK Video River Networks
0.3xn/aUS$401.22k
No more companies available in this PE range
UI 50.6xIndustry Avg. 24.7xNo. of Companies4PE020406080100+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: UI is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (50.6x) compared to the US Communications industry average (24.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is UI's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

UI PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio50.6x
Fair PE Ratio38.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: UI is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (50.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (38.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst UI forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$326.49
US$310.50
-4.9%
24.0%US$385.00US$236.00n/a2
Dec ’25US$346.49
US$310.50
-10.4%
24.0%US$385.00US$236.00n/a2
Nov ’25US$270.41
US$172.00
-36.4%
39.5%US$240.00US$104.00n/a2
Oct ’25US$223.60
US$172.00
-23.1%
39.5%US$240.00US$104.00n/a2
Sep ’25US$193.52
US$172.00
-11.1%
39.5%US$240.00US$104.00n/a2
Aug ’25US$176.05
US$134.00
-23.9%
19.4%US$160.00US$108.00n/a2
Jul ’25US$147.28
US$134.00
-9.0%
19.4%US$160.00US$108.00n/a2
Jun ’25US$143.16
US$134.00
-6.4%
19.4%US$160.00US$108.00n/a2
May ’25US$109.87
US$126.50
+15.1%
26.5%US$160.00US$93.00n/a2
Apr ’25US$115.14
US$126.50
+9.9%
26.5%US$160.00US$93.00n/a2
Mar ’25US$118.11
US$126.50
+7.1%
26.5%US$160.00US$93.00n/a2
Feb ’25US$128.77
US$132.50
+2.9%
20.8%US$160.00US$105.00n/a2
Jan ’25US$139.56
US$132.50
-5.1%
20.8%US$160.00US$105.00n/a2
Dec ’24US$117.28
US$132.50
+13.0%
20.8%US$160.00US$105.00US$346.492
Nov ’24US$119.25
US$258.00
+116.4%
45.3%US$375.00US$141.00US$270.412
Oct ’24US$145.30
US$258.00
+77.6%
45.3%US$375.00US$141.00US$223.602
Sep ’24US$177.28
US$258.00
+45.5%
45.3%US$375.00US$141.00US$193.522
Aug ’24US$176.16
US$291.00
+65.2%
28.9%US$375.00US$207.00US$176.052
Jul ’24US$175.75
US$291.00
+65.6%
28.9%US$375.00US$207.00US$147.282
Jun ’24US$162.14
US$291.00
+79.5%
28.9%US$375.00US$207.00US$143.162
Mar ’24US$267.22
US$320.50
+19.9%
17.0%US$375.00US$266.00US$118.112
Feb ’24US$294.03
US$298.00
+1.4%
25.8%US$375.00US$221.00US$128.772
Jan ’24US$273.53
US$298.00
+8.9%
25.8%US$375.00US$221.00US$139.562
Dec ’23US$299.68
US$298.00
-0.6%
25.8%US$375.00US$221.00US$117.282

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


Discover undervalued companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/18 00:29
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/18 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Ubiquiti Inc. is covered by 27 analysts. 1 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Timothy LongBarclays
Timothy LongBMO Capital Markets Equity Research
Timothy LongBMO Capital Markets U.S. (Historical)