Alibaba Group Holding Limited

BMV:BABA N Stock Report

Market Cap: Mex$3.9t

Alibaba Group Holding Valuation

Is BABA N undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BABA N when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BABA N (MX$1704.19) is trading below our estimate of fair value (MX$2708.45)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BABA N is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BABA N?

Key metric: As BABA N is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for BABA N. This is calculated by dividing BABA N's market cap by their current earnings.
What is BABA N's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio16x
EarningsCN¥85.85b
Market CapCN¥1.37t

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does BABA N's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for BABA N vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average9.8x
LIVEPOL C-1 El Puerto de Liverpool. de
6.2x5.1%Mex$141.6b
GSANBOR B-1 Grupo Sanborns. de
12.8xn/aMex$58.4b
GPH 1 Grupo Palacio de Hierro. de
6.3xn/aMex$16.6b
PRX Prosus
13.7x4.8%€90.4b
BABA N Alibaba Group Holding
16x14.9%Mex$189.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: BABA N is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16x) compared to the peer average (8.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BABA N's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Multiline Retail Industry?

6 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
BABA N 16.0xIndustry Avg. 20.1xNo. of Companies20PE01632486480+
6 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: BABA N is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16x) compared to the Global Multiline Retail industry average (20.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BABA N's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BABA N PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio16x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate BABA N's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BABA N forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentMex$1,704.19
Mex$2,441.75
+43.3%
13.0%Mex$2,956.58Mex$1,718.55n/a43
Nov ’25Mex$1,976.94
Mex$2,439.58
+23.4%
13.5%Mex$3,003.22Mex$1,745.24n/a44
Oct ’25Mex$2,092.73
Mex$2,160.19
+3.2%
13.1%Mex$2,676.39Mex$1,576.67n/a44
Sep ’25Mex$1,639.83
Mex$2,130.14
+29.9%
12.2%Mex$2,587.99Mex$1,586.64n/a44
Aug ’25Mex$1,461.98
Mex$1,973.79
+35.0%
13.1%Mex$2,528.31Mex$1,501.90n/a43
Jul ’25Mex$1,325.50
Mex$1,929.79
+45.6%
13.3%Mex$2,461.36Mex$1,456.61n/a42
Jun ’25Mex$1,331.74
Mex$1,775.15
+33.3%
13.3%Mex$2,267.16Mex$1,341.68n/a42
May ’25Mex$1,276.26
Mex$1,785.89
+39.9%
13.8%Mex$2,270.62Mex$1,360.94n/a43
Apr ’25Mex$1,220.05
Mex$1,765.34
+44.7%
14.3%Mex$2,256.73Mex$1,323.77n/a42
Mar ’25Mex$1,270.00
Mex$1,841.56
+45.0%
15.7%Mex$2,512.27Mex$1,360.94n/a43
Feb ’25Mex$1,240.03
Mex$1,969.50
+58.8%
15.9%Mex$2,573.95Mex$1,405.40n/a43
Jan ’25Mex$1,312.33
Mex$2,129.89
+62.3%
16.7%Mex$2,730.12Mex$1,398.08n/a43
Dec ’24Mex$1,274.96
Mex$2,186.65
+71.5%
15.2%Mex$2,756.33Mex$1,517.73n/a43
Nov ’24Mex$1,463.93
Mex$2,460.62
+68.1%
13.7%Mex$3,329.85Mex$1,758.03Mex$1,976.9443
Oct ’24Mex$1,511.94
Mex$2,463.23
+62.9%
13.3%Mex$3,245.28Mex$1,736.76Mex$2,092.7343
Sep ’24Mex$1,622.32
Mex$2,416.15
+48.9%
13.3%Mex$3,177.76Mex$1,700.63Mex$1,639.8344
Aug ’24Mex$1,687.25
Mex$2,328.51
+38.0%
14.0%Mex$3,071.24Mex$1,557.75Mex$1,461.9844
Jul ’24Mex$1,429.62
Mex$2,349.74
+64.4%
14.4%Mex$3,062.23Mex$1,566.48Mex$1,325.5044
Jun ’24Mex$1,458.34
Mex$2,465.93
+69.1%
12.7%Mex$3,151.03Mex$1,692.08Mex$1,331.7444
May ’24Mex$1,524.28
Mex$2,619.08
+71.8%
13.6%Mex$3,941.04Mex$1,779.75Mex$1,276.2644
Apr ’24Mex$1,839.69
Mex$2,647.96
+43.9%
13.9%Mex$3,980.60Mex$1,801.91Mex$1,220.0543
Mar ’24Mex$1,634.96
Mex$2,653.74
+62.3%
15.4%Mex$4,005.02Mex$1,329.59Mex$1,270.0042
Feb ’24Mex$2,115.58
Mex$2,744.99
+29.8%
17.2%Mex$4,154.94Mex$1,406.47Mex$1,240.0342
Jan ’24Mex$1,712.63
Mex$2,737.90
+59.9%
20.1%Mex$4,430.09Mex$1,432.64Mex$1,312.3342
Dec ’23Mex$1,651.47
Mex$2,587.78
+56.7%
20.0%Mex$4,179.62Mex$1,351.64Mex$1,274.9642
Nov ’23Mex$1,301.26
Mex$2,654.89
+104.0%
20.3%Mex$4,259.38Mex$1,368.98Mex$1,463.9341

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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