AutoZone Valuation

Is AZO * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AZO * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AZO * (MX$61388) is trading above our estimate of fair value (MX$58314.66)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AZO * is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AZO *?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

AZO * key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue3.5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA15.2x
PEG Ratio5.2x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does AZO *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for AZO * vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average21.2x
ORLY O'Reilly Automotive
29.6x5.8%US$69.9b
LIVEPOL C-1 El Puerto de Liverpool. de
7.1x5.2%Mex$155.0b
CVNA Carvana
33.2x11.2%US$40.5b
GIGANTE * Grupo Gigante S. A. B. de C. V
15.1xn/aMex$27.8b
AZO * AutoZone
20.2x3.9%Mex$53.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: AZO * is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.2x) compared to the peer average (21.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does AZO *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Specialty Retail Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a14.6%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a14.6%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: AZO * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.2x) compared to the Global Specialty Retail industry average (16.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AZO *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AZO * PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio20.2x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate AZO *'s Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AZO * forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentMex$61,388.00
Mex$65,318.11
+6.4%
8.5%Mex$72,464.14Mex$50,848.53n/a24
Oct ’25Mex$62,404.00
Mex$63,991.54
+2.5%
7.8%Mex$68,744.55Mex$50,085.32n/a23
Sep ’25Mex$63,789.86
Mex$61,105.28
-4.2%
8.3%Mex$71,834.85Mex$48,370.44n/a23
Aug ’25Mex$57,086.00
Mex$59,553.33
+4.3%
7.4%Mex$64,245.90Mex$47,486.10n/a23
Jul ’25Mex$54,300.00
Mex$58,672.52
+8.1%
7.4%Mex$63,360.29Mex$46,831.52n/a23
Jun ’25Mex$47,164.70
Mex$53,598.73
+13.6%
7.4%Mex$57,960.00Mex$42,840.00n/a23
May ’25Mex$50,700.00
Mex$54,636.48
+7.8%
8.3%Mex$60,176.16Mex$41,454.69n/a24
Apr ’25Mex$52,806.11
Mex$54,119.14
+2.5%
8.3%Mex$60,072.48Mex$41,383.26n/a24
Mar ’25Mex$51,222.83
Mex$53,942.04
+5.3%
8.4%Mex$60,518.14Mex$42,206.13n/a23
Feb ’25Mex$47,700.00
Mex$50,610.68
+6.1%
7.6%Mex$55,414.06Mex$36,540.53n/a24
Jan ’25Mex$43,430.00
Mex$49,456.98
+13.9%
7.9%Mex$54,591.34Mex$35,998.02n/a24
Dec ’24Mex$45,090.00
Mex$48,488.84
+7.5%
8.3%Mex$55,243.67Mex$35,569.02n/a23
Nov ’24n/a
Mex$51,067.58
0%
8.3%Mex$58,397.58Mex$37,599.69n/a23
Oct ’24Mex$45,000.00
Mex$49,761.37
+10.6%
8.2%Mex$56,852.45Mex$36,604.85Mex$62,404.0022
Sep ’24Mex$42,447.11
Mex$46,811.82
+10.3%
7.9%Mex$51,362.05Mex$35,205.11Mex$63,789.8622
Aug ’24n/a
Mex$46,093.69
0%
7.7%Mex$50,568.09Mex$34,660.91Mex$57,086.0023
Jul ’24Mex$41,695.45
Mex$47,390.63
+13.7%
7.7%Mex$51,974.50Mex$35,624.91Mex$54,300.0023
Jun ’24Mex$41,950.00
Mex$48,321.46
+15.2%
7.7%Mex$53,011.27Mex$35,984.47Mex$47,164.7023
May ’24Mex$48,095.00
Mex$48,330.83
+0.5%
9.2%Mex$51,975.01Mex$33,885.05Mex$50,700.0023
Apr ’24Mex$43,865.00
Mex$48,310.39
+10.1%
9.6%Mex$52,450.45Mex$34,195.01Mex$52,806.1123
Mar ’24Mex$44,437.88
Mex$48,243.44
+8.6%
9.6%Mex$52,480.31Mex$34,214.48Mex$51,222.8323
Feb ’24Mex$45,300.00
Mex$48,358.74
+6.8%
9.8%Mex$53,069.85Mex$34,448.85Mex$47,700.0022
Jan ’24Mex$47,584.44
Mex$50,960.46
+7.1%
10.4%Mex$56,341.37Mex$36,572.47Mex$43,430.0021
Dec ’23Mex$49,217.65
Mex$46,983.19
-4.5%
11.4%Mex$54,593.75Mex$35,438.05Mex$45,090.0020
Nov ’23Mex$50,130.00
Mex$47,079.01
-6.1%
9.3%Mex$55,480.32Mex$36,656.64n/a20
Oct ’23n/a
Mex$47,129.95
0%
9.4%Mex$54,260.28Mex$36,105.52Mex$45,000.0020

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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