Advance Auto Parts Valuation
Is AAP * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
1/6Valuation Score 1/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of AAP * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: AAP * (MX$1235.07) is trading below our estimate of fair value (MX$1514.87)
Significantly Below Fair Value: AAP * is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AAP *?
Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.
What is AAP *'s n/a Ratio? | |
---|---|
n/a | 0x |
n/a | n/a |
Market Cap | US$4.46b |
Key Statistics | |
---|---|
Enterprise Value/Revenue | 0.7x |
Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 20x |
PEG Ratio | 4.9x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does AAP *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?
Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
---|---|---|---|
Peer Average | 11.4x | ||
GIGANTE * Grupo Gigante S. A. B. de C. V | 16.5x | n/a | Mex$31.8b |
GSANBOR B-1 Grupo Sanborns. de | 12.8x | n/a | Mex$58.4b |
LIVEPOL C-1 El Puerto de Liverpool. de | 9.6x | 5.8% | Mex$200.1b |
881 Zhongsheng Group Holdings | 6.7x | 6.0% | HK$36.3b |
AAP * Advance Auto Parts | 149.9x | 30.5% | Mex$4.5b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: AAP * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (149.9x) compared to the peer average (10.9x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does AAP *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Specialty Retail Industry?
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: AAP * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (149.9x) compared to the Global Specialty Retail industry average (15.5x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is AAP *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
Fair Ratio | |
---|---|
Current PE Ratio | 149.9x |
Fair PE Ratio | n/a |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate AAP *'s Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Current | n/a | Mex$1,095.39 0% | 23.6% | Mex$1,687.95 | Mex$590.78 | n/a | 19 |
May ’25 | n/a | Mex$1,078.57 0% | 23.0% | Mex$1,671.56 | Mex$585.05 | n/a | 20 |
Apr ’25 | Mex$1,436.00 | Mex$1,064.36 -25.9% | 23.6% | Mex$1,662.42 | Mex$581.85 | n/a | 20 |
Mar ’25 | Mex$1,132.78 | Mex$1,076.85 -4.9% | 22.6% | Mex$1,667.82 | Mex$595.65 | n/a | 20 |
Feb ’25 | n/a | Mex$977.17 0% | 25.1% | Mex$1,687.81 | Mex$551.12 | n/a | 21 |
Jan ’25 | n/a | Mex$961.62 0% | 24.5% | Mex$1,664.27 | Mex$543.43 | n/a | 20 |
Dec ’24 | n/a | Mex$990.60 0% | 25.0% | Mex$1,696.73 | Mex$554.04 | n/a | 20 |
Nov ’24 | n/a | Mex$1,235.72 0% | 19.1% | Mex$1,780.50 | Mex$763.07 | n/a | 20 |
Oct ’24 | n/a | Mex$1,257.14 0% | 14.3% | Mex$1,708.24 | Mex$871.55 | n/a | 19 |
Sep ’24 | n/a | Mex$1,206.37 0% | 12.0% | Mex$1,407.44 | Mex$837.76 | n/a | 17 |
Aug ’24 | Mex$1,228.00 | Mex$1,257.26 +2.4% | 12.7% | Mex$1,423.84 | Mex$837.55 | n/a | 18 |
Jul ’24 | n/a | Mex$1,363.48 0% | 17.9% | Mex$2,224.92 | Mex$975.54 | n/a | 18 |
Jun ’24 | Mex$1,220.10 | Mex$1,505.90 +23.4% | 33.0% | Mex$3,352.70 | Mex$1,000.54 | n/a | 19 |
May ’24 | n/a | Mex$2,728.61 0% | 12.0% | Mex$3,445.72 | Mex$1,894.24 | n/a | 20 |
Apr ’24 | n/a | Mex$2,797.98 0% | 13.1% | Mex$3,622.50 | Mex$1,892.35 | Mex$1,436.00 | 20 |
Mar ’24 | n/a | Mex$2,855.49 0% | 13.1% | Mex$3,638.68 | Mex$1,900.80 | Mex$1,132.78 | 19 |
Feb ’24 | n/a | Mex$3,139.11 0% | 13.3% | Mex$3,910.41 | Mex$2,234.52 | n/a | 19 |
Jan ’24 | Mex$4,099.99 | Mex$3,421.01 -16.6% | 12.9% | Mex$4,326.70 | Mex$2,370.79 | n/a | 19 |
Dec ’23 | Mex$4,099.99 | Mex$3,444.28 -16.0% | 13.7% | Mex$4,280.66 | Mex$2,345.57 | n/a | 19 |
Nov ’23 | Mex$4,099.99 | Mex$4,097.62 -0.06% | 11.4% | Mex$4,993.23 | Mex$2,615.50 | n/a | 20 |
Oct ’23 | Mex$4,099.99 | Mex$4,261.27 +3.9% | 11.5% | Mex$5,140.45 | Mex$2,692.62 | n/a | 20 |
Sep ’23 | Mex$4,099.99 | Mex$4,281.45 +4.4% | 12.2% | Mex$5,086.87 | Mex$2,664.55 | n/a | 20 |
Aug ’23 | n/a | Mex$4,539.30 0% | 11.6% | Mex$5,276.84 | Mex$2,893.09 | Mex$1,228.00 | 20 |
Jul ’23 | n/a | Mex$4,484.96 0% | 11.4% | Mex$5,207.82 | Mex$2,855.25 | n/a | 20 |
Jun ’23 | n/a | Mex$4,460.25 0% | 11.3% | Mex$5,103.21 | Mex$2,797.90 | Mex$1,220.10 | 19 |
May ’23 | Mex$4,524.97 | Mex$5,197.06 +14.9% | 11.4% | Mex$5,937.98 | Mex$3,211.35 | n/a | 19 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.