Park Hotels & Resorts Valuation
Is PK * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
4/6Valuation Score 4/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of PK * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: PK * (MX$294.8) is trading below our estimate of fair value (MX$426.29)
Significantly Below Fair Value: PK * is trading below fair value by more than 20%.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PK *?
Key metric: As PK * is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.
| What is PK *'s PE Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| PE Ratio | 9x |
| Earnings | US$331.00m |
| Market Cap | US$2.99b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 2.7x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 11.2x |
| PEG Ratio | 4.7x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does PK *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 12x | ||
FIHO 12 FibraHotel | 17.9x | 29.3% | Mex$7.1b |
EDUCA 18 Fideicomiso Irrevocable No. F/3277 en Banco Invex S. A. Institución de Banca Múltiple INVEX Grupo | 18.1x | n/a | Mex$69.6b |
FUNO 11 Fibra UNO | 7.5x | -1.5% | Mex$86.1b |
FIBRAPL 14 FIBRA Prologis | 4.6x | -63.6% | Mex$98.4b |
PK * Park Hotels & Resorts | 9x | 1.9% | Mex$3.0b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: PK * is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9x) compared to the peer average (12x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does PK *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Hotel and Resort REITs Industry?
| 5 Companies | Price / Earnings | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Companies | Estimated Growth | Market Cap | |
|---|---|---|---|
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: PK * is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9x) compared to the Global Hotel and Resort REITs industry average (18x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is PK *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PE Ratio | 9x |
| Fair PE Ratio | n/a |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate PK *'s Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | Mex$294.80 | Mex$356.12 +20.8% | 15.9% | Mex$468.94 | Mex$285.44 | n/a | 15 |
| Nov ’25 | n/a | Mex$358.22 0% | 17.9% | Mex$506.92 | Mex$283.87 | n/a | 15 |
| Oct ’25 | n/a | Mex$359.44 0% | 19.7% | Mex$491.03 | Mex$274.98 | n/a | 15 |
| Sep ’25 | n/a | Mex$360.87 0% | 18.9% | Mex$483.30 | Mex$270.65 | n/a | 15 |
| Aug ’25 | n/a | Mex$366.68 0% | 15.1% | Mex$469.30 | Mex$300.35 | n/a | 15 |
| Jul ’25 | n/a | Mex$357.17 0% | 13.4% | Mex$447.12 | Mex$304.04 | n/a | 17 |
| Jun ’25 | n/a | Mex$339.81 0% | 14.0% | Mex$441.11 | Mex$288.42 | n/a | 17 |
| May ’25 | n/a | Mex$340.86 0% | 13.7% | Mex$442.46 | Mex$289.30 | n/a | 17 |
| Apr ’25 | n/a | Mex$332.74 0% | 14.0% | Mex$430.67 | Mex$281.59 | n/a | 17 |
| Mar ’25 | n/a | Mex$324.86 0% | 18.7% | Mex$450.99 | Mex$238.26 | n/a | 17 |
| Feb ’25 | n/a | Mex$314.41 0% | 20.7% | Mex$454.71 | Mex$223.06 | n/a | 17 |
| Jan ’25 | n/a | Mex$299.05 0% | 22.4% | Mex$449.82 | Mex$220.66 | n/a | 17 |
| Dec ’24 | n/a | Mex$281.61 0% | 25.8% | Mex$455.52 | Mex$189.09 | n/a | 17 |
| Nov ’24 | n/a | Mex$294.40 0% | 26.1% | Mex$483.16 | Mex$218.79 | n/a | 17 |
| Oct ’24 | n/a | Mex$292.96 0% | 24.6% | Mex$468.61 | Mex$212.20 | n/a | 15 |
| Sep ’24 | n/a | Mex$281.29 0% | 25.4% | Mex$445.03 | Mex$201.52 | n/a | 14 |
| Aug ’24 | n/a | Mex$286.73 0% | 24.9% | Mex$447.90 | Mex$202.82 | n/a | 14 |
| Jul ’24 | n/a | Mex$296.12 0% | 25.1% | Mex$457.76 | Mex$224.56 | n/a | 14 |
| Jun ’24 | n/a | Mex$298.52 0% | 26.0% | Mex$465.34 | Mex$210.72 | n/a | 14 |
| May ’24 | n/a | Mex$300.30 0% | 27.0% | Mex$475.11 | Mex$215.14 | n/a | 14 |
| Apr ’24 | n/a | Mex$299.73 0% | 26.0% | Mex$479.45 | Mex$217.11 | n/a | 15 |
| Mar ’24 | n/a | Mex$307.75 0% | 24.7% | Mex$479.73 | Mex$199.13 | n/a | 15 |
| Feb ’24 | Mex$271.10 | Mex$306.08 +12.9% | 26.4% | Mex$493.46 | Mex$204.83 | n/a | 16 |
| Jan ’24 | n/a | Mex$330.51 0% | 27.1% | Mex$553.53 | Mex$217.46 | n/a | 16 |
| Dec ’23 | n/a | Mex$331.47 0% | 26.7% | Mex$538.56 | Mex$211.58 | n/a | 15 |
| Nov ’23 | n/a | Mex$370.20 0% | 22.7% | Mex$556.29 | Mex$298.01 | n/a | 15 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.
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