Novartis Valuation

Is NOVN N undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of NOVN N when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
Mex$4.76k
Fair Value
53.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
19
Number of Analysts


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NOVN N?

Key metric:

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for NOVN N. This is calculated by dividing NOVN N's market cap by their current earnings.
What is NOVN N's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio17.1x
EarningsUS$11.76b
Market CapUS$200.85b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does NOVN N's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for NOVN N vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average22.2x
LAB B Genomma Lab Internacional. de
15.8x19.5%Mex$25.4b
ROG Roche Holding
20.3x10.1%CHF 217.3b
AZN AstraZeneca
32.5x16.9%UK£171.4b
MRK Merck
20x12.0%US$247.7b
NOVN N Novartis
17.1x7.0%Mex$177.5b


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does NOVN N's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Pharmaceuticals Industry?

25 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
NOVN N 17.1xIndustry Avg. 22.7xNo. of Companies81PE01632486480+
25 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NOVN N's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NOVN N PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio17.1x
Fair PE Ration/a


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 19 Analysts
Mex$2.57k
Fair Value
12.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
19
Number of Analysts


Discover undervalued companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/11 01:16
End of Day Share Price 2024/09/13 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Novartis AG is covered by 68 analysts. 17 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Kamla SinghAlphaValue
John EadeArgus Research Company
Fabrizio SpagnaAxia Financial Research