Novartis Valuation

Is NOVN N undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of NOVN N when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: NOVN N (MX$2236) is trading below our estimate of fair value (MX$4501.36)

Significantly Below Fair Value: NOVN N is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NOVN N?

Key metric: As NOVN N is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for NOVN N. This is calculated by dividing NOVN N's market cap by their current earnings.
What is NOVN N's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio17.9x
EarningsUS$11.76b
Market CapUS$208.70b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does NOVN N's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for NOVN N vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average21.9x
LAB B Genomma Lab Internacional. de
15.3x19.8%Mex$24.6b
ROG Roche Holding
18.9x11.1%CHF 202.8b
AZN AstraZeneca
31.9x18.4%UK£163.3b
MRK Merck
21.5x15.6%US$257.1b
NOVN N Novartis
17.9x7.0%Mex$183.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: NOVN N is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.9x) compared to the peer average (21.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does NOVN N's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Pharmaceuticals Industry?

24 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
NOVN N 17.9xIndustry Avg. 22.5xNo. of Companies80PE01632486480+
24 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: NOVN N is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.9x) compared to the Global Pharmaceuticals industry average (22.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NOVN N's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NOVN N PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio17.9x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate NOVN N's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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