Merck KGaA Valuation

Is MRK1 N undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MRK1 N when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MRK1 N (MX$3299.85) is trading below our estimate of fair value (MX$5354.66)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MRK1 N is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MRK1 N?

Key metric: As MRK1 N is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for MRK1 N. This is calculated by dividing MRK1 N's market cap by their current earnings.
What is MRK1 N's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio22.6x
Earnings€2.70b
Market Cap€60.87b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MRK1 N's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MRK1 N vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average24.3x
LAB B Genomma Lab Internacional. de
15.7x20.0%Mex$25.2b
GSK GSK
21.3x22.4%UK£53.5b
4519 Chugai Pharmaceutical
27.4x6.3%JP¥10.6t
ZTS Zoetis
32.8x9.9%US$79.0b
MRK1 N Merck KGaA
22.6x10.7%Mex$60.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MRK1 N is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.6x) compared to the peer average (24.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MRK1 N's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Pharmaceuticals Industry?

25 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
MRK1 N 22.6xIndustry Avg. 22.3xNo. of Companies85PE01632486480+
25 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MRK1 N is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.6x) compared to the Global Pharmaceuticals industry average (22.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MRK1 N's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MRK1 N PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio22.6x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate MRK1 N's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MRK1 N forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
Mex$3,962.97
0%
5.7%Mex$4,287.18Mex$3,429.75n/a16
Nov ’25n/a
Mex$4,063.86
0%
5.6%Mex$4,381.52Mex$3,505.21n/a16
Oct ’25n/a
Mex$4,054.19
0%
5.2%Mex$4,440.25Mex$3,573.86n/a17
Sep ’25n/a
Mex$3,857.44
0%
5.0%Mex$4,149.17Mex$3,423.07n/a16
Aug ’25n/a
Mex$3,707.02
0%
5.9%Mex$4,051.39Mex$3,342.39n/a16
Jul ’25n/a
Mex$3,585.57
0%
6.1%Mex$3,888.11Mex$3,110.49n/a16
Jun ’25n/a
Mex$3,384.69
0%
6.9%Mex$3,754.41Mex$2,930.27n/a16
May ’25n/a
Mex$3,327.37
0%
6.9%Mex$3,656.45Mex$2,833.75n/a16
Apr ’25n/a
Mex$3,244.57
0%
7.6%Mex$3,751.47Mex$2,768.94n/a16
Mar ’25n/a
Mex$3,286.55
0%
7.8%Mex$3,667.00Mex$2,841.93n/a16
Feb ’25n/a
Mex$3,375.96
0%
9.3%Mex$3,997.70Mex$2,789.09n/a16
Jan ’25n/a
Mex$3,451.93
0%
9.5%Mex$4,017.13Mex$2,802.65n/a16
Dec ’24n/a
Mex$3,559.02
0%
8.4%Mex$4,119.62Mex$3,108.44n/a16
Nov ’24n/a
Mex$3,555.21
0%
8.5%Mex$4,141.08Mex$3,124.63n/a16
Oct ’24n/a
Mex$3,641.22
0%
5.9%Mex$4,054.76Mex$3,151.66n/a16
Sep ’24n/a
Mex$3,618.83
0%
5.9%Mex$4,077.81Mex$3,169.57n/a17
Aug ’24n/a
Mex$3,640.29
0%
6.2%Mex$4,045.76Mex$3,144.66n/a17
Jul ’24n/a
Mex$3,821.36
0%
6.0%Mex$4,109.85Mex$3,194.47n/a15
Jun ’24n/a
Mex$3,861.54
0%
6.2%Mex$4,254.03Mex$3,233.06n/a16
May ’24n/a
Mex$4,101.39
0%
8.7%Mex$4,963.11Mex$3,136.69n/a16
Apr ’24n/a
Mex$4,187.82
0%
8.8%Mex$5,044.81Mex$3,188.32n/a16
Mar ’24n/a
Mex$4,289.34
0%
9.7%Mex$5,137.30Mex$3,246.77n/a17
Feb ’24Mex$3,358.91
Mex$4,273.21
+27.2%
9.5%Mex$5,113.66Mex$3,231.83n/a17
Jan ’24n/a
Mex$4,347.56
0%
9.3%Mex$5,245.46Mex$3,315.13n/a17
Dec ’23n/a
Mex$4,129.41
0%
9.6%Mex$5,014.81Mex$3,169.36n/a18
Nov ’23n/a
Mex$3,973.05
0%
10.7%Mex$4,869.59Mex$2,843.84n/a18

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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