GSK plc

LSE:GSK Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£54.4b

GSK Valuation

Is GSK undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GSK when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: GSK (£13.34) is trading below our estimate of fair value (£50.33)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GSK is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GSK?

Key metric: As GSK is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for GSK. This is calculated by dividing GSK's market cap by their current earnings.
What is GSK's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio21.7x
EarningsUK£2.51b
Market CapUK£54.41b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does GSK's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for GSK vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average28x
AZN AstraZeneca
31.9x18.2%UK£162.9b
HIK Hikma Pharmaceuticals
18.9x12.2%UK£4.2b
ANCR Animalcare Group
31.6x5.3%UK£146.1m
4519 Chugai Pharmaceutical
29.8x6.0%JP¥11.5t
GSK GSK
21.7x23.2%UK£54.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: GSK is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.7x) compared to the peer average (28x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does GSK's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Pharmaceuticals Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
GSK 21.7xIndustry Avg. 19.7xNo. of Companies11PE01632486480+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: GSK is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.7x) compared to the European Pharmaceuticals industry average (19.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GSK's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GSK PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio21.7x
Fair PE Ratio38.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: GSK is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (38.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst GSK forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUK£13.34
UK£18.17
+36.2%
29.3%UK£34.79UK£11.90n/a18
Dec ’25UK£13.35
UK£18.29
+37.0%
29.0%UK£34.79UK£11.90n/a18
Nov ’25UK£14.20
UK£19.12
+34.7%
26.8%UK£34.79UK£14.20n/a18
Oct ’25UK£15.22
UK£19.73
+29.7%
24.2%UK£34.79UK£14.20n/a20
Sep ’25UK£16.57
UK£19.68
+18.8%
23.4%UK£34.79UK£14.20n/a21
Aug ’25UK£15.26
UK£19.72
+29.3%
22.8%UK£34.79UK£14.20n/a21
Jul ’25UK£15.26
UK£20.28
+32.9%
20.6%UK£34.79UK£14.20n/a22
Jun ’25UK£17.67
UK£20.26
+14.7%
21.9%UK£34.79UK£12.00n/a21
May ’25UK£17.05
UK£20.12
+18.0%
22.5%UK£34.79UK£12.00n/a20
Apr ’25UK£17.09
UK£19.89
+16.4%
23.5%UK£34.79UK£12.00n/a21
Mar ’25UK£16.62
UK£19.51
+17.4%
24.6%UK£34.79UK£12.00n/a20
Feb ’25UK£15.86
UK£18.90
+19.2%
25.6%UK£34.79UK£12.00n/a20
Jan ’25UK£14.50
UK£17.24
+18.9%
20.7%UK£25.30UK£12.00n/a19
Dec ’24UK£14.36
UK£17.25
+20.1%
20.8%UK£25.30UK£11.90UK£13.3519
Nov ’24UK£14.23
UK£17.27
+21.4%
20.6%UK£25.00UK£11.90UK£14.2019
Oct ’24UK£14.92
UK£17.13
+14.8%
20.8%UK£24.61UK£11.90UK£15.2219
Sep ’24UK£13.88
UK£16.97
+22.3%
22.1%UK£26.20UK£11.90UK£16.5720
Aug ’24UK£13.72
UK£17.03
+24.2%
21.6%UK£26.20UK£11.90UK£15.2620
Jul ’24UK£13.89
UK£17.15
+23.5%
20.9%UK£26.20UK£11.10UK£15.2620
Jun ’24UK£13.48
UK£17.15
+27.3%
20.9%UK£26.20UK£11.10UK£17.6720
May ’24UK£14.41
UK£17.12
+18.8%
20.8%UK£26.20UK£11.10UK£17.0520
Apr ’24UK£14.29
UK£17.13
+19.9%
20.6%UK£26.20UK£11.10UK£17.0920
Mar ’24UK£14.22
UK£17.21
+21.0%
21.3%UK£26.20UK£11.10UK£16.6221
Feb ’24UK£14.20
UK£17.02
+19.9%
21.4%UK£25.70UK£11.10UK£15.8620
Jan ’24UK£14.38
UK£17.03
+18.4%
21.1%UK£25.70UK£11.10UK£14.5020
Dec ’23UK£14.15
UK£17.10
+20.8%
20.9%UK£25.70UK£11.10UK£14.3620

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/17 01:41
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/17 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

GSK plc is covered by 63 analysts. 18 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Kamla SinghAlphaValue
John EadeArgus Research Company
Odile RundquistBaader Helvea Equity Research