Grupo Televisa, S.A.B.'s (BMV:TLEVISACPO) Business Is Trailing The Industry But Its Shares Aren't
There wouldn't be many who think Grupo Televisa, S.A.B.'s (BMV:TLEVISACPO) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.4x is worth a mention when the median P/S for the Media industry in Mexico is similar at about 0.6x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
Check out our latest analysis for Grupo Televisa
How Has Grupo Televisa Performed Recently?
Grupo Televisa hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. Perhaps the market is expecting its poor revenue performance to improve, keeping the P/S from dropping. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Keen to find out how analysts think Grupo Televisa's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.How Is Grupo Televisa's Revenue Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Grupo Televisa's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 6.4%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 19% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should bring diminished returns, with revenue decreasing 1.8% each year as estimated by the twelve analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the broader industry is forecast to expand by 3.4% each year, which paints a poor picture.
With this in consideration, we think it doesn't make sense that Grupo Televisa's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the negative growth outlook.
The Final Word
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
It appears that Grupo Televisa currently trades on a higher than expected P/S for a company whose revenues are forecast to decline. With this in mind, we don't feel the current P/S is justified as declining revenues are unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. If the poor revenue outlook tells us one thing, it's that these current price levels could be unsustainable.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Grupo Televisa (of which 2 don't sit too well with us!) you should know about.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Grupo Televisa might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.