Southern Copper Corporation

BMV:SCCO * Stock Report

Market Cap: Mex$1.5t

Southern Copper Valuation

Is SCCO * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SCCO * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SCCO * (MX$2150) is trading above our estimate of fair value (MX$1855.77)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SCCO * is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SCCO *?

Key metric: As SCCO * is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for SCCO *. This is calculated by dividing SCCO *'s market cap by their current earnings.
What is SCCO *'s PE Ratio?
PE Ratio24x
EarningsUS$3.03b
Market CapUS$72.73b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SCCO *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SCCO * vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average32.3x
GMEXICO B Grupo México. de
10.2x5.9%Mex$756.6b
PE&OLES * Industrias Peñoles. de
63.7xn/aMex$109.9b
FCX Freeport-McMoRan
27.1x13.1%US$54.2b
CEMEX CPO CEMEX. de
28.3x28.7%Mex$168.4b
SCCO * Southern Copper
24x6.4%Mex$72.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SCCO * is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24x) compared to the peer average (32.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SCCO *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the South American Metals and Mining Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No. of Companies6PE0612182430+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SCCO * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24x) compared to the South American Metals and Mining industry average (7.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SCCO *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SCCO * PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio24x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate SCCO *'s Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SCCO * forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
Mex$2,074.30
0%
25.5%Mex$3,141.92Mex$1,053.39n/a16
Dec ’25n/a
Mex$2,092.64
0%
27.3%Mex$3,185.28Mex$1,067.92n/a16
Nov ’25n/a
Mex$2,004.22
0%
27.5%Mex$3,060.17Mex$1,025.97n/a16
Oct ’25Mex$2,258.01
Mex$1,844.50
-18.3%
26.1%Mex$2,707.34Mex$1,029.55n/a15
Sep ’25Mex$1,996.62
Mex$1,858.55
-6.9%
26.1%Mex$2,733.06Mex$1,039.33n/a15
Aug ’25n/a
Mex$1,701.62
0%
27.5%Mex$2,550.66Mex$969.97n/a15
Jul ’25n/a
Mex$1,604.89
0%
28.0%Mex$2,456.11Mex$968.10n/a14
Jun ’25Mex$2,032.93
Mex$1,407.24
-30.8%
27.1%Mex$2,297.12Mex$905.43n/a14
May ’25Mex$2,050.84
Mex$1,375.70
-32.9%
26.2%Mex$2,255.78Mex$915.63n/a15
Apr ’25Mex$1,783.32
Mex$1,206.05
-32.4%
25.9%Mex$2,106.24Mex$761.49n/a15
Mar ’25n/a
Mex$1,153.74
0%
18.6%Mex$1,554.17Mex$785.44n/a15
Feb ’25n/a
Mex$1,106.06
0%
17.7%Mex$1,566.67Mex$791.76n/a13
Jan ’25n/a
Mex$1,081.35
0%
18.4%Mex$1,549.36Mex$783.01n/a13
Dec ’24n/a
Mex$1,090.51
0%
18.9%Mex$1,597.99Mex$790.58n/a13
Nov ’24n/a
Mex$1,131.61
0%
23.6%Mex$1,655.16Mex$731.76n/a14
Oct ’24n/a
Mex$1,140.51
0%
25.1%Mex$1,619.73Mex$767.24Mex$2,258.0114
Sep ’24n/a
Mex$1,042.23
0%
23.0%Mex$1,560.88Mex$739.37Mex$1,996.6215
Aug ’24Mex$1,385.28
Mex$1,016.63
-26.6%
21.7%Mex$1,555.93Mex$737.02n/a16
Jul ’24n/a
Mex$1,047.27
0%
20.9%Mex$1,586.86Mex$751.67n/a16
Jun ’24Mex$1,075.94
Mex$1,085.20
+0.9%
20.1%Mex$1,657.86Mex$750.40Mex$2,032.9317
May ’24Mex$1,344.15
Mex$1,076.54
-19.9%
20.7%Mex$1,671.02Mex$756.35Mex$2,050.8416
Apr ’24Mex$1,334.17
Mex$1,030.18
-22.8%
16.5%Mex$1,416.26Mex$761.24Mex$1,783.3217
Mar ’24n/a
Mex$1,011.51
0%
16.7%Mex$1,416.56Mex$761.40n/a18
Feb ’24Mex$1,418.29
Mex$1,022.84
-27.9%
17.1%Mex$1,468.70Mex$789.43n/a18
Jan ’24n/a
Mex$977.80
0%
18.0%Mex$1,325.85Mex$691.75n/a19

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

Discover undervalued companies

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/04 10:16
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/09 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Southern Copper Corporation is covered by 38 analysts. 16 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research
Leonardo CorreaBarclays
Garrett NelsonBB&T Capital Markets