Southern Copper Valuation
Is SCCO * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
1/6Valuation Score 1/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of SCCO * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: SCCO * (MX$2101.9) is trading above our estimate of fair value (MX$1404.32)
Significantly Below Fair Value: SCCO * is trading above our estimate of fair value.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SCCO *?
Key metric: As SCCO * is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.
| What is SCCO *'s PE Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| PE Ratio | 25.7x |
| Earnings | US$3.03b |
| Market Cap | US$77.89b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 7.5x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 13.8x |
| PEG Ratio | 4.2x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does SCCO *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 43.4x | ||
GMEXICO B Grupo México. de | 10.4x | 6.0% | Mex$778.9b |
PE&OLES * Industrias Peñoles. de | 63.7x | n/a | Mex$116.8b |
FCX Freeport-McMoRan | 31.3x | 18.9% | US$63.8b |
AMMN Amman Mineral Internasional | 68.1x | -1.1% | Rp659.9t |
SCCO * Southern Copper | 25.7x | 6.2% | Mex$77.9b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SCCO * is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.7x) compared to the peer average (43.4x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does SCCO *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the South American Metals and Mining Industry?
| 0 Companies | Price / Earnings | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 Companies | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SCCO * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.7x) compared to the South American Metals and Mining industry average (8.4x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is SCCO *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PE Ratio | 25.7x |
| Fair PE Ratio | n/a |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate SCCO *'s Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | n/a | Mex$2,092.64 0% | 27.3% | Mex$3,185.28 | Mex$1,067.92 | n/a | 16 |
| Nov ’25 | n/a | Mex$2,004.22 0% | 27.5% | Mex$3,060.17 | Mex$1,025.97 | n/a | 16 |
| Oct ’25 | Mex$2,258.01 | Mex$1,844.50 -18.3% | 26.1% | Mex$2,707.34 | Mex$1,029.55 | n/a | 15 |
| Sep ’25 | Mex$1,996.62 | Mex$1,858.55 -6.9% | 26.1% | Mex$2,733.06 | Mex$1,039.33 | n/a | 15 |
| Aug ’25 | n/a | Mex$1,701.62 0% | 27.5% | Mex$2,550.66 | Mex$969.97 | n/a | 15 |
| Jul ’25 | n/a | Mex$1,604.89 0% | 28.0% | Mex$2,456.11 | Mex$968.10 | n/a | 14 |
| Jun ’25 | Mex$2,032.93 | Mex$1,407.24 -30.8% | 27.1% | Mex$2,297.12 | Mex$905.43 | n/a | 14 |
| May ’25 | Mex$2,050.84 | Mex$1,375.70 -32.9% | 26.2% | Mex$2,255.78 | Mex$915.63 | n/a | 15 |
| Apr ’25 | Mex$1,783.32 | Mex$1,206.05 -32.4% | 25.9% | Mex$2,106.24 | Mex$761.49 | n/a | 15 |
| Mar ’25 | n/a | Mex$1,153.74 0% | 18.6% | Mex$1,554.17 | Mex$785.44 | n/a | 15 |
| Feb ’25 | n/a | Mex$1,106.06 0% | 17.7% | Mex$1,566.67 | Mex$791.76 | n/a | 13 |
| Jan ’25 | n/a | Mex$1,081.35 0% | 18.4% | Mex$1,549.36 | Mex$783.01 | n/a | 13 |
| Dec ’24 | n/a | Mex$1,090.51 0% | 18.9% | Mex$1,597.99 | Mex$790.58 | n/a | 13 |
| Nov ’24 | n/a | Mex$1,131.61 0% | 23.6% | Mex$1,655.16 | Mex$731.76 | n/a | 14 |
| Oct ’24 | n/a | Mex$1,140.51 0% | 25.1% | Mex$1,619.73 | Mex$767.24 | Mex$2,258.01 | 14 |
| Sep ’24 | n/a | Mex$1,042.23 0% | 23.0% | Mex$1,560.88 | Mex$739.37 | Mex$1,996.62 | 15 |
| Aug ’24 | Mex$1,385.28 | Mex$1,016.63 -26.6% | 21.7% | Mex$1,555.93 | Mex$737.02 | n/a | 16 |
| Jul ’24 | n/a | Mex$1,047.27 0% | 20.9% | Mex$1,586.86 | Mex$751.67 | n/a | 16 |
| Jun ’24 | Mex$1,075.94 | Mex$1,085.20 +0.9% | 20.1% | Mex$1,657.86 | Mex$750.40 | Mex$2,032.93 | 17 |
| May ’24 | Mex$1,344.15 | Mex$1,076.54 -19.9% | 20.7% | Mex$1,671.02 | Mex$756.35 | Mex$2,050.84 | 16 |
| Apr ’24 | Mex$1,334.17 | Mex$1,030.18 -22.8% | 16.5% | Mex$1,416.26 | Mex$761.24 | Mex$1,783.32 | 17 |
| Mar ’24 | n/a | Mex$1,011.51 0% | 16.7% | Mex$1,416.56 | Mex$761.40 | n/a | 18 |
| Feb ’24 | Mex$1,418.29 | Mex$1,022.84 -27.9% | 17.1% | Mex$1,468.70 | Mex$789.43 | n/a | 18 |
| Jan ’24 | n/a | Mex$977.80 0% | 18.0% | Mex$1,325.85 | Mex$691.75 | n/a | 19 |
| Dec ’23 | Mex$1,150.21 | Mex$944.73 -17.9% | 17.6% | Mex$1,303.43 | Mex$680.05 | n/a | 18 |
| Nov ’23 | Mex$954.70 | Mex$927.67 -2.8% | 17.2% | Mex$1,259.77 | Mex$658.96 | n/a | 17 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.
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