Quálitas Controladora, S.A.B. de C.V.

BMV:Q * Stock Report

Market Cap: Mex$68.9b

Quálitas Controladora. de Valuation

Is Q * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of Q * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Q * (MX$175.5) is trading below our estimate of fair value (MX$208.56)

Significantly Below Fair Value: Q * is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for Q *?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

Q * key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA10.8x
PEG Ratio0.9x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does Q *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for Q * vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average18x
GNP * Grupo Nacional Provincial
7.4xn/aMex$31.3b
DFY Definity Financial
14.8x5.2%CA$5.2b
OUT OUTsurance Group
21.6x11.8%R72.5b
THG Hanover Insurance Group
28.3x53.1%US$4.5b
Q * Quálitas Controladora. de
16.9x19.7%Mex$68.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: Q * is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.9x) compared to the peer average (18x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does Q *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the South American Insurance Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a7.5%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a7.5%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: Q * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.9x) compared to the South American Insurance industry average (7.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is Q *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

Q * PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio16.9x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate Q *'s Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst Q * forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentMex$175.51
Mex$186.83
+6.5%
12.5%Mex$225.00Mex$161.00n/a6
Jul ’25Mex$189.05
Mex$186.83
-1.2%
12.5%Mex$225.00Mex$161.00n/a6
Jun ’25Mex$218.68
Mex$192.20
-12.1%
15.7%Mex$230.00Mex$160.00n/a5
May ’25Mex$224.02
Mex$187.20
-16.4%
14.0%Mex$230.00Mex$160.00n/a5
Apr ’25Mex$196.12
Mex$178.10
-9.2%
17.5%Mex$230.00Mex$133.60n/a6
Mar ’25Mex$194.14
Mex$168.27
-13.3%
14.4%Mex$200.00Mex$133.60n/a6
Feb ’25Mex$189.95
Mex$165.60
-12.8%
15.5%Mex$200.00Mex$133.60n/a6
Jan ’25Mex$171.58
Mex$159.93
-6.8%
12.5%Mex$190.00Mex$133.60n/a6
Dec ’24Mex$163.89
Mex$148.52
-9.4%
11.9%Mex$180.00Mex$133.00n/a5
Nov ’24Mex$148.61
Mex$136.52
-8.1%
6.6%Mex$151.00Mex$124.00n/a5
Oct ’24Mex$130.95
Mex$124.15
-5.2%
13.0%Mex$151.00Mex$99.00n/a6
Sep ’24Mex$133.85
Mex$124.15
-7.2%
13.0%Mex$151.00Mex$99.00n/a6
Aug ’24Mex$122.97
Mex$124.15
+1.0%
13.0%Mex$151.00Mex$99.00n/a6
Jul ’24Mex$127.02
Mex$119.56
-5.9%
14.7%Mex$151.00Mex$92.00Mex$189.057
Jun ’24Mex$117.81
Mex$108.90
-7.6%
13.0%Mex$130.00Mex$91.40Mex$218.686
May ’24Mex$118.85
Mex$108.90
-8.4%
13.0%Mex$130.00Mex$91.40Mex$224.026
Apr ’24Mex$115.29
Mex$105.57
-8.4%
15.5%Mex$130.00Mex$80.00Mex$196.126
Mar ’24Mex$115.49
Mex$103.40
-10.5%
15.0%Mex$130.00Mex$80.00Mex$194.146
Feb ’24Mex$105.43
Mex$98.23
-6.8%
12.0%Mex$110.00Mex$75.00Mex$189.956
Jan ’24Mex$85.92
Mex$97.07
+13.0%
13.0%Mex$110.00Mex$75.00Mex$171.586
Dec ’23Mex$85.18
Mex$101.77
+19.5%
16.8%Mex$129.00Mex$75.00Mex$163.897
Nov ’23Mex$84.24
Mex$103.43
+22.8%
16.0%Mex$129.00Mex$75.00Mex$148.618
Oct ’23Mex$83.05
Mex$106.05
+27.7%
12.6%Mex$129.00Mex$85.00Mex$130.958
Sep ’23Mex$88.00
Mex$111.50
+26.7%
8.4%Mex$129.00Mex$98.00Mex$133.858
Aug ’23Mex$85.07
Mex$111.38
+30.9%
8.6%Mex$129.00Mex$97.00Mex$122.978
Jul ’23Mex$92.31
Mex$114.25
+23.8%
7.7%Mex$129.00Mex$97.00Mex$127.028

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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