Grupo Nacional Provincial, S.A.B.

BMV:GNP * Stock Report

Market Cap: Mex$31.3b

Grupo Nacional Provincial Valuation

Is GNP * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GNP * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: GNP * (MX$140) is trading below our estimate of fair value (MX$140.03)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GNP * is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GNP *?

Key metric: As GNP * is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for GNP *. This is calculated by dividing GNP *'s market cap by their current earnings.
What is GNP *'s PE Ratio?
PE Ratio7.9x
EarningsMex$3.98b
Market CapMex$31.34b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does GNP *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for GNP * vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average13.8x
PV * Peña Verde
7.1xn/aMex$3.0b
Q * Quálitas Controladora. de
11.6x13.1%Mex$56.0b
WAA Wafa Assurance
20.4x8.0%د.م15.6b
HMN Horace Mann Educators
16x23.1%US$1.6b
GNP * Grupo Nacional Provincial
7.9xn/aMex$31.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: GNP * is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.9x) compared to the peer average (13.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does GNP *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the South American Insurance Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No. of Companies4PE0612182430+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: GNP * is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.9x) compared to the Global Insurance industry average (11.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GNP *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GNP * PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio7.9x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate GNP *'s Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.

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