Manulife Financial Corporation

BMV:MFC N Stock Report

Market Cap: Mex$1.2t

Manulife Financial Valuation

Is MFC N undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MFC N when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MFC N (MX$654.68) is trading below our estimate of fair value (MX$873.08)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MFC N is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MFC N?

Key metric: As MFC N is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for MFC N. This is calculated by dividing MFC N's market cap by their current earnings.
What is MFC N's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio15.6x
EarningsCA$5.10b
Market CapCA$79.48b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MFC N's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MFC N vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average14.4x
1299 AIA Group
16.3x13.9%HK$611.4b
GWO Great-West Lifeco
12.7x5.2%CA$46.4b
AFL Aflac
16.4x-1.7%US$62.4b
2881 Fubon Financial Holding
12.1x0.07%NT$1.2t
MFC N Manulife Financial
15.6x13.4%Mex$79.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MFC N is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.6x) compared to the peer average (14.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MFC N's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the South American Insurance Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
MFC N 15.6xIndustry Avg. 11.2xNo. of Companies4PE0612182430+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MFC N is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.6x) compared to the Global Insurance industry average (11.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MFC N's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MFC N PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio15.6x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate MFC N's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MFC N forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentMex$654.68
Mex$680.62
+4.0%
9.1%Mex$730.73Mex$496.89n/a14
Nov ’25n/a
Mex$605.63
0%
10.2%Mex$696.57Mex$493.40n/a15
Oct ’25n/a
Mex$577.45
0%
6.8%Mex$634.50Mex$501.70n/a15
Sep ’25n/a
Mex$532.96
0%
7.0%Mex$585.48Mex$462.94n/a14
Aug ’25n/a
Mex$514.83
0%
10.0%Mex$582.01Mex$406.05n/a15
Jul ’25n/a
Mex$497.06
0%
9.7%Mex$578.13Mex$403.35n/a15
Jun ’25n/a
Mex$449.92
0%
9.5%Mex$525.19Mex$366.41n/a15
May ’25n/a
Mex$444.71
0%
9.6%Mex$503.88Mex$377.91n/a15
Apr ’25n/a
Mex$429.75
0%
9.1%Mex$493.45Mex$370.09n/a15
Mar ’25n/a
Mex$430.50
0%
10.8%Mex$502.08Mex$328.86n/a16
Feb ’25n/a
Mex$386.68
0%
6.4%Mex$433.89Mex$334.35n/a14
Jan ’25n/a
Mex$376.72
0%
7.7%Mex$432.92Mex$331.06n/a14
Dec ’24n/a
Mex$363.21
0%
8.2%Mex$426.68Mex$301.18n/a14
Nov ’24n/a
Mex$371.65
0%
7.4%Mex$416.04Mex$312.03n/a14
Oct ’24n/a
Mex$369.61
0%
7.6%Mex$423.51Mex$308.00n/a14
Sep ’24n/a
Mex$365.69
0%
7.7%Mex$415.14Mex$301.92n/a16
Aug ’24n/a
Mex$369.64
0%
8.2%Mex$446.94Mex$306.47n/a17
Jul ’24n/a
Mex$378.53
0%
8.4%Mex$455.80Mex$312.55n/a15
Jun ’24n/a
Mex$374.58
0%
7.9%Mex$454.03Mex$324.31n/a16
May ’24n/a
Mex$385.73
0%
8.0%Mex$451.26Mex$331.81n/a16
Apr ’24n/a
Mex$391.90
0%
7.3%Mex$461.46Mex$339.31n/a16
Mar ’24n/a
Mex$389.60
0%
7.4%Mex$460.24Mex$338.41n/a16
Feb ’24Mex$330.18
Mex$383.32
+16.1%
8.2%Mex$476.63Mex$350.46n/a16
Jan ’24n/a
Mex$379.87
0%
7.0%Mex$441.14Mex$338.21n/a15
Dec ’23n/a
Mex$379.87
0%
7.0%Mex$441.14Mex$338.21n/a15
Nov ’23n/a
Mex$379.63
0%
8.4%Mex$436.35Mex$334.54n/a15

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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