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Is Kimberly-Clark de México S. A. B. de C. V (BMV:KIMBERA) Using Too Much Debt?
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Kimberly-Clark de México, S. A. B. de C. V. (BMV:KIMBERA) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Kimberly-Clark de México S. A. B. de C. V
What Is Kimberly-Clark de México S. A. B. de C. V's Net Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2021 Kimberly-Clark de México S. A. B. de C. V had debt of Mex$28.4b, up from Mex$27.1b in one year. On the flip side, it has Mex$15.7b in cash leading to net debt of about Mex$12.7b.
How Healthy Is Kimberly-Clark de México S. A. B. de C. V's Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Kimberly-Clark de México S. A. B. de C. V had liabilities of Mex$17.1b due within a year, and liabilities of Mex$31.7b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had Mex$15.7b in cash and Mex$6.76b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total Mex$26.3b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Kimberly-Clark de México S. A. B. de C. V has a market capitalization of Mex$110.1b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
While Kimberly-Clark de México S. A. B. de C. V's low debt to EBITDA ratio of 1.0 suggests only modest use of debt, the fact that EBIT only covered the interest expense by 6.4 times last year does give us pause. So we'd recommend keeping a close eye on the impact financing costs are having on the business. The good news is that Kimberly-Clark de México S. A. B. de C. V has increased its EBIT by 9.7% over twelve months, which should ease any concerns about debt repayment. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Kimberly-Clark de México S. A. B. de C. V can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, Kimberly-Clark de México S. A. B. de C. V generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 87% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.
Our View
Happily, Kimberly-Clark de México S. A. B. de C. V's impressive conversion of EBIT to free cash flow implies it has the upper hand on its debt. And its net debt to EBITDA is good too. Taking all this data into account, it seems to us that Kimberly-Clark de México S. A. B. de C. V takes a pretty sensible approach to debt. That means they are taking on a bit more risk, in the hope of boosting shareholder returns. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - Kimberly-Clark de México S. A. B. de C. V has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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About BMV:KIMBER A
Kimberly-Clark de México S. A. B. de C. V
Manufactures, distributes, and sells disposable products in Mexico.
Undervalued with excellent balance sheet and pays a dividend.