Guardant Health, Inc.

BMV:GH * Stock Report

Market Cap: Mex$77.5b

Guardant Health Valuation

Is GH * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GH * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: GH * (MX$731.5) is trading above our estimate of fair value (MX$601.29)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GH * is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GH *?

Key metric: As GH * is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for GH *. This is calculated by dividing GH *'s market cap by their current revenue.
What is GH *'s PS Ratio?
PS Ratio5.5x
SalesUS$692.26m
Market CapUS$3.84b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does GH *'s PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for GH * vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.2x
OPCH Option Care Health
0.8x7.3%US$3.9b
LFST LifeStance Health Group
2.3x12.2%US$2.8b
BTSG BrightSpring Health Services
0.3x9.3%US$3.0b
PRVA Privia Health Group
1.4x11.2%US$2.4b
GH * Guardant Health
5.5x17.0%Mex$3.8b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: GH * is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (5.5x) compared to the peer average (1.2x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does GH *'s PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the South American Healthcare Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No. of Companies4PS00.40.81.21.62+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: GH * is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (5.5x) compared to the South American Healthcare industry average (0.7x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GH *'s PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GH * PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio5.5x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate GH *'s Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst GH * forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
Mex$870.25
0%
13.1%Mex$1,208.68Mex$684.92n/a20
Dec ’25n/a
Mex$852.44
0%
13.6%Mex$1,189.45Mex$674.02n/a20
Nov ’25n/a
Mex$832.67
0%
12.7%Mex$1,000.80Mex$640.51n/a20
Oct ’25n/a
Mex$825.48
0%
14.1%Mex$1,159.93Mex$657.29n/a20
Sep ’25n/a
Mex$825.48
0%
14.1%Mex$1,159.93Mex$657.29n/a20
Aug ’25Mex$591.47
Mex$728.12
+23.1%
17.1%Mex$931.10Mex$521.42n/a20
Jul ’25n/a
Mex$685.17
0%
18.7%Mex$859.89Mex$512.27n/a20
Jun ’25n/a
Mex$628.59
0%
19.9%Mex$790.17Mex$470.74n/a18
May ’25n/a
Mex$661.89
0%
21.3%Mex$851.00Mex$459.54n/a18
Apr ’25Mex$293.83
Mex$686.30
+133.6%
20.7%Mex$901.47Mex$450.73n/a18
Mar ’25Mex$360.00
Mex$709.41
+97.1%
19.4%Mex$923.08Mex$461.54n/a18
Feb ’25n/a
Mex$796.06
0%
18.5%Mex$1,033.35Mex$465.01n/a18
Jan ’25n/a
Mex$806.05
0%
18.9%Mex$1,092.44Mex$460.87n/a18
Dec ’24n/a
Mex$848.36
0%
18.8%Mex$1,125.93Mex$475.00n/a18
Nov ’24n/a
Mex$925.71
0%
18.1%Mex$1,349.41Mex$620.00n/a17
Oct ’24Mex$478.43
Mex$937.23
+95.9%
17.6%Mex$1,308.58Mex$601.24n/a17
Sep ’24n/a
Mex$922.26
0%
15.0%Mex$1,265.22Mex$683.90n/a17
Aug ’24Mex$662.50
Mex$898.15
+35.6%
20.2%Mex$1,256.82Mex$509.52Mex$591.4717
Jul ’24n/a
Mex$928.94
0%
20.3%Mex$1,304.24Mex$528.75n/a17
Jun ’24n/a
Mex$928.94
0%
20.3%Mex$1,304.24Mex$528.75n/a17
May ’24Mex$444.00
Mex$1,003.91
+126.1%
25.1%Mex$1,628.47Mex$610.67n/a16
Apr ’24n/a
Mex$1,003.91
0%
25.1%Mex$1,628.47Mex$610.67Mex$293.8316
Mar ’24n/a
Mex$1,047.06
0%
20.1%Mex$1,620.07Mex$662.76Mex$360.0016
Feb ’24Mex$591.33
Mex$1,259.42
+113.0%
19.0%Mex$1,701.79Mex$696.19n/a16
Jan ’24n/a
Mex$1,373.94
0%
16.1%Mex$1,781.77Mex$989.87n/a15
Dec ’23n/a
Mex$1,529.80
0%
14.2%Mex$1,921.96Mex$970.69n/a15

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/24 09:42
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/02 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Guardant Health, Inc. is covered by 30 analysts. 22 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Michael RyskinBofA Global Research
Derik de BruinBofA Global Research
Mark MassaroBTIG