Stock Analysis

Grupo Herdez, S.A.B. de C.V.'s (BMV:HERDEZ) Stock Has Fared Decently: Is the Market Following Strong Financials?

BMV:HERDEZ *
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Grupo Herdez. de's (BMV:HERDEZ) stock is up by 4.3% over the past month. Since the market usually pay for a company’s long-term financial health, we decided to study the company’s fundamentals to see if they could be influencing the market. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Grupo Herdez. de's ROE today.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

See our latest analysis for Grupo Herdez. de

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for ROE is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Grupo Herdez. de is:

13% = Mex$2.2b ÷ Mex$18b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2020).

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. So, this means that for every MX$1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of MX$0.13.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

Grupo Herdez. de's Earnings Growth And 13% ROE

At first glance, Grupo Herdez. de's ROE doesn't look very promising. Although a closer study shows that the company's ROE is higher than the industry average of 9.8% which we definitely can't overlook. Consequently, this likely laid the ground for the decent growth of 14% seen over the past five years by Grupo Herdez. de. Bear in mind, the company does have a moderately low ROE. It is just that the industry ROE is lower. Hence there might be some other aspects that are causing earnings to grow. E.g the company has a low payout ratio or could belong to a high growth industry.

We then compared Grupo Herdez. de's net income growth with the industry and we're pleased to see that the company's growth figure is higher when compared with the industry which has a growth rate of 5.2% in the same period.

past-earnings-growth
BMV:HERDEZ * Past Earnings Growth December 19th 2020

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. What is HERDEZ * worth today? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether HERDEZ * is currently mispriced by the market.

Is Grupo Herdez. de Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

Grupo Herdez. de has a three-year median payout ratio of 42%, which implies that it retains the remaining 58% of its profits. This suggests that its dividend is well covered, and given the decent growth seen by the company, it looks like management is reinvesting its earnings efficiently.

Additionally, Grupo Herdez. de has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years which means that the company is pretty serious about sharing its profits with shareholders. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company is expected to keep paying out approximately 39% of its profits over the next three years. As a result, Grupo Herdez. de's ROE is not expected to change by much either, which we inferred from the analyst estimate of 11% for future ROE.

Conclusion

On the whole, we feel that Grupo Herdez. de's performance has been quite good. Particularly, we like that the company is reinvesting heavily into its business at a moderate rate of return. Unsurprisingly, this has led to an impressive earnings growth. That being so, a study of the latest analyst forecasts show that the company is expected to see a slowdown in its future earnings growth. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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