Stock Analysis

Insufficient Growth At Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:VISTAA) Hampers Share Price

BMV:VISTA A
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With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 7.5x Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:VISTAA) may be sending bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in Mexico have P/E ratios greater than 12x and even P/E's higher than 19x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Vista Energy. de certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings more than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings performance might be less impressive moving forward. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

See our latest analysis for Vista Energy. de

pe-multiple-vs-industry
BMV:VISTA A Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry August 15th 2025
Keen to find out how analysts think Vista Energy. de's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.
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How Is Vista Energy. de's Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as Vista Energy. de's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 30% gain to the company's bottom line. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 208% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the ten analysts covering the company suggest earnings growth is heading into negative territory, declining 33% over the next year. Meanwhile, the broader market is forecast to expand by 13%, which paints a poor picture.

In light of this, it's understandable that Vista Energy. de's P/E would sit below the majority of other companies. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/E has reached a floor yet with earnings going in reverse. There's potential for the P/E to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its profitability.

The Key Takeaway

Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that Vista Energy. de maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast for sliding earnings, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

You need to take note of risks, for example - Vista Energy. de has 3 warning signs (and 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) we think you should know about.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.