Cheniere Energy Valuation

Is LNG * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of LNG * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
Mex$3.53k
Fair Value
32.4% overvalued intrinsic discount
23
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: LNG * (MX$4680) is trading above our estimate of fair value (MX$3534.34)

Significantly Below Fair Value: LNG * is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for LNG *?

Key metric: As LNG * is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for LNG *. This is calculated by dividing LNG *'s market cap by their current earnings.
What is LNG *'s PE Ratio?
PE Ratio15.6x
EarningsUS$3.65b
Market CapUS$56.91b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does LNG *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for LNG * vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average22.7x
TRGP Targa Resources
38.2x16.0%US$46.4b
MPLX MPLX
12.1x3.7%US$51.8b
KMI Kinder Morgan
26.7x8.3%US$66.8b
TRP TC Energy
14x-2.3%CA$69.0b
LNG * Cheniere Energy
15.6x-7.4%Mex$56.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: LNG * is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.6x) compared to the peer average (22.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does LNG *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Oil and Gas Industry?

29 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No. of Companies82PE0816243240+
29 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: LNG * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.6x) compared to the Global Oil and Gas industry average (10.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is LNG *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

LNG * PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio15.6x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate LNG *'s Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst LNG * forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentMex$4,680.00
Mex$4,974.18
+6.3%
10.2%Mex$5,773.46Mex$3,835.08n/a23
Jan ’26n/a
Mex$4,667.71
0%
10.7%Mex$5,646.09Mex$3,750.47n/a22
Dec ’25n/a
Mex$4,480.51
0%
9.1%Mex$5,476.04Mex$3,763.38n/a22
Nov ’25Mex$3,677.00
Mex$4,246.22
+15.5%
6.5%Mex$4,704.17Mex$3,692.77n/a22
Oct ’25n/a
Mex$4,023.96
0%
6.3%Mex$4,449.49Mex$3,583.22n/a21
Sep ’25n/a
Mex$3,953.29
0%
5.8%Mex$4,369.05Mex$3,518.44n/a22
Aug ’25n/a
Mex$3,730.21
0%
7.7%Mex$4,096.84Mex$2,998.14n/a22
Jul ’25Mex$3,131.60
Mex$3,606.13
+15.2%
7.6%Mex$3,987.72Mex$2,918.29n/a22
Jun ’25n/a
Mex$3,287.04
0%
7.6%Mex$3,609.53Mex$2,678.04n/a21
May ’25n/a
Mex$3,357.47
0%
7.4%Mex$3,693.34Mex$2,740.22n/a22
Apr ’25n/a
Mex$3,306.64
0%
6.5%Mex$3,708.82Mex$2,677.67n/a22
Mar ’25Mex$2,670.00
Mex$3,402.93
+27.5%
6.5%Mex$3,805.85Mex$2,747.72n/a23
Feb ’25n/a
Mex$3,443.24
0%
6.7%Mex$3,871.96Mex$2,770.60n/a23
Jan ’25n/a
Mex$3,451.53
0%
6.6%Mex$3,923.65Mex$2,770.65n/a23
Dec ’24n/a
Mex$3,420.88
0%
7.1%Mex$3,921.46Mex$2,769.10n/a23
Nov ’24n/a
Mex$3,559.71
0%
6.4%Mex$4,128.82Mex$2,902.80Mex$3,677.0023
Oct ’24n/a
Mex$3,443.33
0%
6.9%Mex$3,967.48Mex$2,826.39n/a21
Sep ’24Mex$2,758.30
Mex$3,273.19
+18.7%
7.6%Mex$3,790.47Mex$2,700.29n/a19
Aug ’24n/a
Mex$3,333.90
0%
8.8%Mex$3,988.85Mex$2,721.21n/a20
Jul ’24n/a
Mex$3,386.90
0%
9.1%Mex$4,042.02Mex$2,757.48Mex$3,131.6020
Jun ’24Mex$2,454.00
Mex$3,521.74
+43.5%
9.0%Mex$4,189.17Mex$2,857.86n/a20
May ’24Mex$2,738.95
Mex$3,560.02
+30.0%
9.0%Mex$4,243.26Mex$2,894.76n/a20
Apr ’24n/a
Mex$3,590.75
0%
8.8%Mex$4,253.29Mex$2,901.61n/a21
Mar ’24Mex$2,968.85
Mex$3,600.83
+21.3%
9.2%Mex$4,272.28Mex$2,914.57Mex$2,670.0022
Feb ’24Mex$2,831.09
Mex$3,730.03
+31.8%
9.7%Mex$4,443.76Mex$2,692.62n/a21
Jan ’24Mex$3,023.00
Mex$4,052.73
+34.1%
9.5%Mex$4,842.38Mex$2,826.37n/a21
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 23 Analysts
Mex$4.40k
Fair Value
6.3% overvalued intrinsic discount
23
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/17 07:25
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/13 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Cheniere Energy, Inc. is covered by 47 analysts. 12 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research
Kannan VenkateshwarBarclays
Theresa ChenBarclays