MPLX LP

NYSE:MPLX Stock Report

Market Cap: US$52.1b

MPLX Valuation

Is MPLX undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MPLX when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
US$97.30
Fair Value
45.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
16
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: MPLX ($52.64) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($97.3)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MPLX is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MPLX?

Key metric: As MPLX is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for MPLX. This is calculated by dividing MPLX's market cap by their current earnings.
What is MPLX's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio12.5x
EarningsUS$4.29b
Market CapUS$52.11b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MPLX's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MPLX vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average23.1x
OKE ONEOK
22.9x13.5%US$63.7b
TRGP Targa Resources
38.5x16.0%US$47.0b
LNG Cheniere Energy
15.3x-7.4%US$56.7b
ET Energy Transfer
15.6x11.3%US$69.5b
MPLX MPLX
12.5x3.7%US$52.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MPLX is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.5x) compared to the peer average (23.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MPLX's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Oil and Gas Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
AXAS Abraxas Petroleum
0.09xn/aUS$10.27m
BYRO.F Byron Energy
0.03x-10.3%US$312.17k
USOP.Y U.S. Oil and Gas
n/an/aUS$6.00
No more companies available in this PE range
MPLX 12.5xIndustry Avg. 12.6xNo. of Companies19PE0816243240+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MPLX is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.5x) compared to the US Oil and Gas industry average (12.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MPLX's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MPLX PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio12.5x
Fair PE Ratio14.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: MPLX is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MPLX forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$52.64
US$51.81
-1.6%
7.4%US$58.00US$44.00n/a16
Jan ’26US$47.86
US$51.25
+7.1%
7.8%US$58.00US$44.00n/a16
Dec ’25US$51.66
US$50.49
-2.3%
7.6%US$58.00US$44.00n/a16
Nov ’25US$44.21
US$47.68
+7.8%
5.7%US$52.00US$43.00n/a16
Oct ’25US$44.68
US$46.62
+4.3%
5.4%US$51.00US$42.00n/a16
Sep ’25US$42.88
US$46.54
+8.5%
5.1%US$50.00US$42.00n/a16
Aug ’25US$42.58
US$45.98
+8.0%
5.1%US$50.00US$41.00n/a16
Jul ’25US$42.88
US$45.48
+6.1%
5.7%US$50.00US$41.00n/a16
Jun ’25US$40.68
US$45.29
+11.3%
5.2%US$49.00US$41.00n/a16
May ’25US$41.59
US$44.95
+8.1%
5.4%US$49.00US$40.00n/a16
Apr ’25US$41.32
US$42.51
+2.9%
6.2%US$47.00US$38.00n/a17
Mar ’25US$39.00
US$42.33
+8.5%
6.7%US$47.00US$38.00n/a17
Feb ’25US$38.85
US$41.80
+7.6%
7.4%US$47.00US$36.00n/a17
Jan ’25US$36.72
US$40.62
+10.6%
6.6%US$45.00US$36.00US$47.8617
Dec ’24US$36.61
US$40.45
+10.5%
6.8%US$45.00US$36.00US$51.6617
Nov ’24US$36.06
US$40.45
+12.2%
6.8%US$45.00US$36.00US$44.2117
Oct ’24US$35.57
US$40.33
+13.4%
6.6%US$45.00US$36.00US$44.6815
Sep ’24US$35.00
US$40.29
+15.1%
6.9%US$45.00US$36.00US$42.8814
Aug ’24US$35.53
US$39.93
+12.4%
7.2%US$44.00US$34.00US$42.5814
Jul ’24US$33.94
US$39.57
+16.6%
7.4%US$44.00US$34.00US$42.8814
Jun ’24US$33.33
US$39.50
+18.5%
7.3%US$44.00US$34.00US$40.6814
May ’24US$34.88
US$39.14
+12.2%
6.7%US$44.00US$35.00US$41.5914
Apr ’24US$34.45
US$38.80
+12.6%
7.0%US$44.00US$34.00US$41.3215
Mar ’24US$34.48
US$38.53
+11.8%
6.8%US$44.00US$34.00US$39.0015
Feb ’24US$34.80
US$38.17
+9.7%
8.5%US$44.00US$31.00US$38.8515
Jan ’24US$32.84
US$37.75
+15.0%
8.4%US$44.00US$31.00US$36.7214
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 16 Analysts
US$51.81
Fair Value
1.6% overvalued intrinsic discount
16
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/21 04:25
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/21 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

MPLX LP is covered by 34 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Theresa ChenBarclays
Brian ZarahnBarclays
Richard GrossBarclays