Coterra Energy Valuation
Is CTRA * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
2/6Valuation Score 2/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of CTRA * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: CTRA * (MX$543) is trading below our estimate of fair value (MX$1595.6)
Significantly Below Fair Value: CTRA * is trading below fair value by more than 20%.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CTRA *?
Key metric: As CTRA * is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.
| What is CTRA *'s PE Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| PE Ratio | 16.5x |
| Earnings | US$1.24b |
| Market Cap | US$20.35b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 4x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 6.3x |
| PEG Ratio | 0.6x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does CTRA *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 8.5x | ||
VISTA A Vista Energy. de | 10.4x | 15.0% | Mex$110.0b |
MRO Marathon Oil | 12x | -5.8% | US$16.2b |
TATN PJSC Tatneft | 4.6x | n/a | ₽915.4b |
PTTEP PTT Exploration and Production | 6.8x | -9.1% | ฿520.1b |
CTRA * Coterra Energy | 16.5x | 29.8% | Mex$20.4b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CTRA * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.5x) compared to the peer average (9.7x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does CTRA *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Oil and Gas Industry?
| 30 Companies | Price / Earnings | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Companies | Estimated Growth | Market Cap | |
|---|---|---|---|
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CTRA * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.5x) compared to the Global Oil and Gas industry average (10.7x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is CTRA *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PE Ratio | 16.5x |
| Fair PE Ratio | n/a |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate CTRA *'s Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | Mex$543.00 | Mex$653.70 +20.4% | 8.5% | Mex$769.11 | Mex$546.47 | n/a | 25 |
| Nov ’25 | Mex$460.00 | Mex$620.64 +34.9% | 8.1% | Mex$750.23 | Mex$527.19 | n/a | 27 |
| Oct ’25 | n/a | Mex$609.80 0% | 9.0% | Mex$706.08 | Mex$509.94 | n/a | 27 |
| Sep ’25 | n/a | Mex$654.09 0% | 9.6% | Mex$813.14 | Mex$515.65 | n/a | 27 |
| Aug ’25 | Mex$480.00 | Mex$613.39 +27.8% | 9.5% | Mex$745.18 | Mex$527.08 | n/a | 26 |
| Jul ’25 | Mex$486.24 | Mex$625.88 +28.7% | 10.2% | Mex$757.00 | Mex$535.44 | n/a | 25 |
| Jun ’25 | n/a | Mex$572.18 0% | 11.1% | Mex$695.59 | Mex$482.00 | n/a | 24 |
| May ’25 | Mex$484.26 | Mex$558.94 +15.4% | 10.0% | Mex$668.27 | Mex$462.65 | n/a | 26 |
| Apr ’25 | n/a | Mex$521.41 0% | 10.8% | Mex$648.34 | Mex$415.61 | n/a | 25 |
| Mar ’25 | n/a | Mex$525.12 0% | 11.0% | Mex$663.73 | Mex$425.47 | n/a | 27 |
| Feb ’25 | n/a | Mex$530.82 0% | 11.1% | Mex$668.88 | Mex$445.92 | n/a | 26 |
| Jan ’25 | n/a | Mex$539.06 0% | 13.5% | Mex$712.92 | Mex$441.33 | n/a | 26 |
| Dec ’24 | n/a | Mex$568.83 0% | 12.8% | Mex$729.27 | Mex$468.82 | n/a | 25 |
| Nov ’24 | n/a | Mex$590.01 0% | 13.3% | Mex$765.77 | Mex$474.05 | Mex$460.00 | 25 |
| Oct ’24 | Mex$482.11 | Mex$563.66 +16.9% | 13.8% | Mex$742.71 | Mex$459.77 | n/a | 24 |
| Sep ’24 | Mex$465.00 | Mex$541.38 +16.4% | 14.0% | Mex$716.15 | Mex$443.33 | n/a | 24 |
| Aug ’24 | Mex$465.00 | Mex$505.84 +8.8% | 13.1% | Mex$660.23 | Mex$423.23 | Mex$480.00 | 25 |
| Jul ’24 | n/a | Mex$517.69 0% | 13.2% | Mex$667.66 | Mex$427.99 | Mex$486.24 | 25 |
| Jun ’24 | Mex$420.60 | Mex$536.86 +27.6% | 13.2% | Mex$688.73 | Mex$441.50 | n/a | 25 |
| May ’24 | Mex$454.00 | Mex$540.67 +19.1% | 13.1% | Mex$683.10 | Mex$413.45 | Mex$484.26 | 26 |
| Apr ’24 | Mex$438.00 | Mex$537.72 +22.8% | 14.8% | Mex$697.09 | Mex$385.23 | n/a | 25 |
| Mar ’24 | Mex$453.25 | Mex$552.61 +21.9% | 15.2% | Mex$731.94 | Mex$420.86 | n/a | 25 |
| Feb ’24 | Mex$436.95 | Mex$570.09 +30.5% | 15.8% | Mex$763.46 | Mex$428.28 | n/a | 26 |
| Jan ’24 | Mex$472.50 | Mex$656.86 +39.0% | 18.0% | Mex$932.81 | Mex$446.97 | n/a | 25 |
| Dec ’23 | Mex$534.50 | Mex$690.62 +29.2% | 16.0% | Mex$927.01 | Mex$540.76 | n/a | 25 |
| Nov ’23 | Mex$615.00 | Mex$715.23 +16.3% | 15.7% | Mex$1,013.24 | Mex$556.29 | n/a | 26 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.
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