Chord Energy Valuation
Is CHRD * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
4/6Valuation Score 4/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of CHRD * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: CHRD * (MX$2600) is trading below our estimate of fair value (MX$5971.5)
Significantly Below Fair Value: CHRD * is trading below fair value by more than 20%.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CHRD *?
Key metric: As CHRD * is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.
| What is CHRD *'s PE Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| PE Ratio | 8.3x |
| Earnings | US$935.98m |
| Market Cap | US$7.73b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 1.9x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 3.9x |
| PEG Ratio | 1.9x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does CHRD *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 8.4x | ||
VISTA A Vista Energy. de | 9.9x | 15.0% | Mex$104.0b |
MTDR Matador Resources | 8x | 8.3% | US$7.3b |
PRIO3 Prio | 6.7x | 25.5% | R$33.2b |
AKRBP Aker BP | 9.1x | 0.07% | NOK 144.5b |
CHRD * Chord Energy | 8.3x | 4.3% | Mex$7.7b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CHRD * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.3x) compared to the peer average (8x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does CHRD *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Oil and Gas Industry?
| 30 Companies | Price / Earnings | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Companies | Estimated Growth | Market Cap | |
|---|---|---|---|
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CHRD * is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.3x) compared to the Global Oil and Gas industry average (10.6x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is CHRD *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PE Ratio | 8.3x |
| Fair PE Ratio | n/a |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate CHRD *'s Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | n/a | Mex$3,703.56 0% | 12.8% | Mex$4,655.10 | Mex$3,057.80 | n/a | 14 |
| Nov ’25 | n/a | Mex$3,723.24 0% | 12.5% | Mex$4,634.87 | Mex$2,824.19 | n/a | 14 |
| Oct ’25 | Mex$2,625.00 | Mex$3,715.95 +41.6% | 9.9% | Mex$4,256.06 | Mex$2,765.46 | n/a | 13 |
| Sep ’25 | Mex$2,880.00 | Mex$3,881.48 +34.8% | 9.9% | Mex$4,786.94 | Mex$3,324.27 | n/a | 12 |
| Aug ’25 | n/a | Mex$3,753.40 0% | 9.9% | Mex$4,520.22 | Mex$3,139.05 | n/a | 12 |
| Jul ’25 | n/a | Mex$3,911.81 0% | 9.7% | Mex$4,811.71 | Mex$3,415.95 | n/a | 12 |
| Jun ’25 | n/a | Mex$3,666.71 0% | 10.6% | Mex$4,445.01 | Mex$3,155.62 | n/a | 8 |
| May ’25 | n/a | Mex$3,604.67 0% | 10.1% | Mex$4,459.24 | Mex$3,114.66 | n/a | 10 |
| Apr ’25 | n/a | Mex$3,288.00 0% | 11.0% | Mex$3,851.41 | Mex$2,808.67 | n/a | 8 |
| Mar ’25 | n/a | Mex$3,276.08 0% | 12.3% | Mex$3,897.26 | Mex$2,722.98 | n/a | 8 |
| Feb ’25 | n/a | Mex$3,175.75 0% | 9.5% | Mex$3,860.89 | Mex$2,757.78 | n/a | 12 |
| Jan ’25 | n/a | Mex$3,281.18 0% | 8.2% | Mex$3,894.14 | Mex$2,890.32 | n/a | 12 |
| Dec ’24 | n/a | Mex$3,314.11 0% | 8.0% | Mex$3,895.56 | Mex$2,891.37 | n/a | 12 |
| Nov ’24 | n/a | Mex$3,360.05 0% | 8.0% | Mex$4,007.77 | Mex$2,974.65 | n/a | 11 |
| Oct ’24 | n/a | Mex$3,281.09 0% | 9.2% | Mex$3,908.05 | Mex$2,652.53 | Mex$2,625.00 | 11 |
| Sep ’24 | Mex$2,750.00 | Mex$3,101.79 +12.8% | 10.0% | Mex$3,768.34 | Mex$2,557.70 | Mex$2,880.00 | 11 |
| Aug ’24 | n/a | Mex$3,005.61 0% | 10.9% | Mex$3,719.14 | Mex$2,524.31 | n/a | 10 |
| Jul ’24 | n/a | Mex$3,076.74 0% | 14.5% | Mex$4,226.66 | Mex$2,566.80 | n/a | 10 |
| Jun ’24 | n/a | Mex$3,156.88 0% | 14.7% | Mex$4,344.01 | Mex$2,638.07 | n/a | 10 |
| May ’24 | n/a | Mex$3,290.32 0% | 15.6% | Mex$4,530.93 | Mex$2,696.99 | n/a | 10 |
| Apr ’24 | n/a | Mex$3,232.54 0% | 9.2% | Mex$3,799.45 | Mex$2,713.89 | n/a | 9 |
| Mar ’24 | n/a | Mex$3,407.75 0% | 9.8% | Mex$4,024.37 | Mex$2,756.42 | n/a | 9 |
| Feb ’24 | n/a | Mex$3,466.72 0% | 9.9% | Mex$4,123.66 | Mex$2,824.43 | n/a | 9 |
| Jan ’24 | Mex$2,594.47 | Mex$3,653.84 +40.8% | 10.6% | Mex$4,329.00 | Mex$2,978.67 | n/a | 7 |
| Dec ’23 | Mex$2,851.00 | Mex$3,660.56 +28.4% | 11.5% | Mex$4,219.04 | Mex$2,903.01 | n/a | 7 |
| Nov ’23 | Mex$3,056.60 | Mex$3,549.61 +16.1% | 15.0% | Mex$4,359.17 | Mex$2,972.16 | n/a | 7 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.
Discover undervalued companies
Petróleo Brasileiro - Petrobras
R$501.0b
Explores, produces, and sells oil and gas in Brazil and internationally.
PBRA N
R$242.36
7D
0%
1Y
n/a
Murphy Oil
US$4.9b
Operates as an oil and gas exploration and production company in the United States, Canada, and internationally.
MUR *
US$693.81
7D
0%
1Y
n/a
TotalEnergies
€125.3b
A multi-energy company, produces and markets oil and biofuels, natural gas, green gases, renewables, and electricity in France, rest of Europe, North America, Africa, and internationally.
TTE N
€1,284.00
7D
0%
1Y
12.2%