Moody's Valuation

Is MCO * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MCO * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
Mex$6.29k
Fair Value
70.2% overvalued intrinsic discount
19
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: MCO * (MX$10713.01) is trading above our estimate of fair value (MX$6292.94)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MCO * is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MCO *?

Key metric: As MCO * is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for MCO *. This is calculated by dividing MCO *'s market cap by their current earnings.
What is MCO *'s PE Ratio?
PE Ratio45.8x
EarningsUS$2.06b
Market CapUS$94.27b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MCO *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MCO * vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average41x
BOLSA A Bolsa Mexicana de Valores. de
12.8x0.8%Mex$20.9b
ICE Intercontinental Exchange
34.8x10.0%US$95.8b
CME CME Group
25.4x4.3%US$88.5b
LSEG London Stock Exchange Group
91x23.3%UK£62.0b
MCO * Moody's
45.8x9.5%Mex$94.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MCO * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (45.8x) compared to the peer average (41x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MCO *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the South American Capital Markets Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No. of Companies8PE0612182430+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MCO * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (45.8x) compared to the South American Capital Markets industry average (10.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MCO *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MCO * PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio45.8x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate MCO *'s Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MCO * forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentMex$10,713.01
Mex$10,853.52
+1.3%
10.2%Mex$12,379.65Mex$8,446.98n/a19
Feb ’26Mex$10,270.00
Mex$10,418.16
+1.4%
9.3%Mex$11,762.35Mex$8,563.82n/a20
Jan ’26n/a
Mex$10,232.56
0%
9.4%Mex$11,588.39Mex$8,437.16n/a20
Dec ’25n/a
Mex$10,137.40
0%
9.2%Mex$11,606.45Mex$8,450.31n/a19
Nov ’25Mex$9,070.00
Mex$9,947.28
+9.7%
9.7%Mex$11,449.31Mex$7,934.17n/a19
Oct ’25Mex$9,190.68
Mex$9,435.60
+2.7%
8.1%Mex$11,179.52Mex$7,747.21n/a19
Sep ’25Mex$9,661.54
Mex$8,964.93
-7.2%
8.0%Mex$10,070.37Mex$7,315.27n/a19
Aug ’25Mex$8,502.30
Mex$8,674.33
+2.0%
8.8%Mex$9,869.66Mex$7,169.47n/a18
Jul ’25Mex$7,673.25
Mex$7,578.13
-1.2%
7.0%Mex$8,337.85Mex$6,611.51n/a18
Jun ’25Mex$6,711.70
Mex$6,879.39
+2.5%
6.5%Mex$7,560.00Mex$6,048.00n/a18
May ’25n/a
Mex$6,954.38
0%
7.2%Mex$7,703.28Mex$5,905.85n/a19
Apr ’25n/a
Mex$6,614.77
0%
7.9%Mex$7,484.18Mex$5,654.71n/a19
Mar ’25Mex$6,475.55
Mex$6,777.03
+4.7%
7.9%Mex$7,671.60Mex$5,796.32n/a19
Feb ’25Mex$6,754.50
Mex$6,741.25
-0.2%
9.6%Mex$7,836.24Mex$5,769.54Mex$10,270.0019
Jan ’25Mex$6,579.20
Mex$6,223.73
-5.4%
9.6%Mex$7,695.10Mex$4,989.13n/a19
Dec ’24Mex$6,218.88
Mex$6,199.07
-0.3%
7.7%Mex$7,067.97Mex$5,331.07n/a19
Nov ’24n/a
Mex$6,446.05
0%
7.1%Mex$7,419.99Mex$5,596.59Mex$9,070.0019
Oct ’24n/a
Mex$6,361.19
0%
6.8%Mex$7,170.83Mex$5,548.86Mex$9,190.6819
Sep ’24Mex$5,780.74
Mex$6,355.99
+10.0%
6.8%Mex$7,160.92Mex$5,541.19Mex$9,661.5419
Aug ’24Mex$5,907.30
Mex$6,291.79
+6.5%
6.7%Mex$7,081.75Mex$5,479.92Mex$8,502.3020
Jul ’24Mex$5,910.00
Mex$5,710.27
-3.4%
8.2%Mex$6,844.80Mex$4,740.02Mex$7,673.2520
Jun ’24Mex$5,520.00
Mex$5,862.20
+6.2%
6.6%Mex$6,413.54Mex$4,934.87Mex$6,711.7019
May ’24Mex$5,523.30
Mex$5,897.43
+6.8%
7.3%Mex$6,472.76Mex$4,980.43n/a18
Apr ’24Mex$5,317.45
Mex$5,872.62
+10.4%
7.8%Mex$6,474.56Mex$4,981.82n/a17
Mar ’24Mex$5,269.00
Mex$6,154.64
+16.8%
8.2%Mex$6,817.43Mex$5,245.63Mex$6,475.5517
Feb ’24Mex$6,069.00
Mex$5,940.12
-2.1%
8.2%Mex$6,629.08Mex$5,158.02Mex$6,754.5017
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 19 Analysts
Mex$10.96k
Fair Value
2.2% undervalued intrinsic discount
19
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/02/16 13:44
End of Day Share Price 2025/02/13 00:00
Earnings2024/12/31
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Moody's Corporation is covered by 39 analysts. 19 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
John EadeArgus Research Company
Jeffrey MeulerBaird
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research