Yum China Holdings Valuation
Is YUMC * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
2/6Valuation Score 2/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of YUMC * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: YUMC * (MX$595) is trading above our estimate of fair value (MX$552.45)
Significantly Below Fair Value: YUMC * is trading above our estimate of fair value.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for YUMC *?
Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.
What is YUMC *'s n/a Ratio? | |
---|---|
n/a | 0x |
n/a | n/a |
Market Cap | US$13.91b |
Key Statistics | |
---|---|
Enterprise Value/Revenue | 1.3x |
Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 9.6x |
PEG Ratio | 1.7x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does YUMC *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?
Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
---|---|---|---|
Peer Average | 18.1x | ||
ALSEA * Alsea. de | 23.1x | 26.4% | Mex$55.2b |
CMR B CMR. de | 10.9x | n/a | Mex$817.1m |
6862 Haidilao International Holding | 20.8x | 10.4% | HK$100.9b |
SW Sodexo | 17.5x | 9.4% | €12.5b |
YUMC * Yum China Holdings | 16.4x | 9.8% | Mex$13.9b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: YUMC * is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.4x) compared to the peer average (18.1x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does YUMC *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the South American Hospitality Industry?
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: YUMC * is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.4x) compared to the Global Hospitality industry average (21.2x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is YUMC *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
Fair Ratio | |
---|---|
Current PE Ratio | 16.4x |
Fair PE Ratio | n/a |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate YUMC *'s Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Current | Mex$595.00 | Mex$891.14 +49.8% | 17.6% | Mex$1,268.51 | Mex$567.49 | n/a | 24 |
May ’25 | n/a | Mex$928.95 0% | 17.8% | Mex$1,293.35 | Mex$578.61 | n/a | 24 |
Apr ’25 | n/a | Mex$953.17 0% | 16.8% | Mex$1,345.47 | Mex$568.46 | n/a | 24 |
Mar ’25 | Mex$747.90 | Mex$978.44 +30.8% | 17.0% | Mex$1,362.74 | Mex$575.76 | n/a | 24 |
Feb ’25 | n/a | Mex$1,021.22 0% | 18.7% | Mex$1,372.70 | Mex$518.19 | n/a | 25 |
Jan ’25 | n/a | Mex$1,080.76 0% | 13.3% | Mex$1,365.54 | Mex$744.22 | n/a | 25 |
Dec ’24 | n/a | Mex$1,116.15 0% | 12.9% | Mex$1,385.09 | Mex$754.87 | n/a | 24 |
Nov ’24 | n/a | Mex$1,215.48 0% | 12.3% | Mex$1,424.98 | Mex$776.62 | n/a | 23 |
Oct ’24 | n/a | Mex$1,267.41 0% | 8.3% | Mex$1,447.76 | Mex$861.76 | n/a | 24 |
Sep ’24 | n/a | Mex$1,238.81 0% | 8.2% | Mex$1,432.18 | Mex$852.49 | n/a | 25 |
Aug ’24 | n/a | Mex$1,223.60 0% | 7.6% | Mex$1,416.35 | Mex$893.65 | n/a | 24 |
Jul ’24 | Mex$972.98 | Mex$1,259.49 +29.4% | 7.6% | Mex$1,434.48 | Mex$905.09 | n/a | 24 |
Jun ’24 | n/a | Mex$1,296.89 0% | 8.9% | Mex$1,491.44 | Mex$941.03 | n/a | 25 |
May ’24 | n/a | Mex$1,298.21 0% | 11.6% | Mex$1,657.14 | Mex$819.26 | n/a | 24 |
Apr ’24 | n/a | Mex$1,298.21 0% | 11.6% | Mex$1,657.14 | Mex$819.26 | n/a | 24 |
Mar ’24 | n/a | Mex$1,260.82 0% | 12.6% | Mex$1,633.68 | Mex$807.66 | Mex$747.90 | 24 |
Feb ’24 | Mex$1,106.75 | Mex$1,199.51 +8.4% | 13.9% | Mex$1,564.16 | Mex$707.60 | n/a | 22 |
Jan ’24 | Mex$1,106.67 | Mex$1,171.61 +5.9% | 14.2% | Mex$1,636.96 | Mex$740.53 | n/a | 23 |
Dec ’23 | n/a | Mex$1,144.69 0% | 14.1% | Mex$1,625.69 | Mex$735.43 | n/a | 23 |
Nov ’23 | n/a | Mex$1,115.63 0% | 16.5% | Mex$1,674.11 | Mex$589.93 | n/a | 23 |
Oct ’23 | n/a | Mex$1,138.02 0% | 16.9% | Mex$1,734.90 | Mex$597.13 | n/a | 23 |
Sep ’23 | Mex$980.69 | Mex$1,150.13 +17.3% | 16.6% | Mex$1,749.74 | Mex$630.72 | n/a | 23 |
Aug ’23 | Mex$959.45 | Mex$1,145.36 +19.4% | 17.4% | Mex$1,752.16 | Mex$631.59 | n/a | 22 |
Jul ’23 | Mex$822.52 | Mex$1,073.32 +30.5% | 20.7% | Mex$1,707.16 | Mex$535.97 | Mex$972.98 | 21 |
Jun ’23 | Mex$745.49 | Mex$1,072.31 +43.8% | 20.0% | Mex$1,701.06 | Mex$593.39 | n/a | 21 |
May ’23 | n/a | Mex$1,165.95 0% | 19.5% | Mex$1,741.72 | Mex$607.58 | n/a | 21 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.